A loss in momentum brought exhaustion in the upside move.

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A loss in momentum brought exhaustion in the upside move.

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  • A loss in momentum brought exhaustion in the upside move.
  • Divergence in asset price and momentum oscillator has accelerated the odds of a bearish reversal.
  • A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period (EMAs) adds to the downside filters.

The pair currently trades last at 93.34.

The previous day high was 95.61 while the previous day low was 92.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 93.49, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 94.3, expected to provide resistance.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has displayed a short-lived pullback after printing a three-day low of $92.16 in the Asian session. The asset is advancing higher right from the first tick on Friday, however, the downside pressure remains favored as the asset has displayed exhaustion signals after a juggernaut rally.

The sheer upside rally from the past week has met exhaustion and a correction mode is undergoing. On an hourly scale, the asset consecutively formed higher highs but with a decline in buying interest, however, the momentum oscillator, Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) formed lower highs. This advocates a loss of upside momentum as investors are treating the asset as an expensive bet.

A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $93.73, bolsters the case of a steep correction ahead.

Should the asset drops below the round-level support at $92.00, bears will get strengthen further and will drag the asset towards the August 22 high at $90.98, followed by August 17 high at $88.65.

Alternatively, bulls could regain control if the asset oversteps August 24 high at $95.10. An occurrence of the same will send the asset towards July 26 high at $98.4 and the psychological resistance at $100.00.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XTIUSD currently trading at 93.34 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 92.89 and is trading with a change of 0.48 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 93.34
1 Today Daily Change 0.45
2 Today Daily Change % 0.48
3 Today daily open 92.89

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 90.97, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 97.07 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 102.67 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 94.91

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 90.97
1 Daily SMA50 97.07
2 Daily SMA100 102.67
3 Daily SMA200 94.91

The previous day high was 95.61 while the previous day low was 92.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 93.49, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 94.3, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 91.52, 90.14, 88.1
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 94.94, 96.98, 98.36
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 95.61
Previous Daily Low 92.19
Previous Weekly High 91.64
Previous Weekly Low 85.39
Previous Monthly High 109.54
Previous Monthly Low 88.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 93.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 94.30
Daily Pivot Point S1 91.52
Daily Pivot Point S2 90.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 88.10
Daily Pivot Point R1 94.94
Daily Pivot Point R2 96.98
Daily Pivot Point R3 98.36

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