#EURUSD @ 0.99684 -imp levels: remains sidelined after a volatile day that ended near the opening price.

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#EURUSD @ 0.99684 -imp levels: remains sidelined after a volatile day that ended near the opening price.

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  • EUR/USD remains sidelined after a volatile day that ended near the opening price.
  • US dollar bulls relinquished controls after mixed US data helped equities to print mild gains.
  • DXY printed small gains despite strong yields amid anxiety ahead of central bankers’ speeches at the Jackson Hole.
  • The second readings of German/US GDP, Germany’s IFO Sentiment figures and US Core PCE data could also entertain traders.

The pair currently trades last at 0.99684.

The previous day high was 1.0018 while the previous day low was 0.9901. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9973, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9946, expected to provide support.

EUR/USD steadies around 0.9970 while fading the bounce off 0.9910, as well as cooling down the retreat from 0.9998, amid traders’ anxiety ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The major currency pair also struggled for clear directions after mixed US data and a lack of major comments from the ECB/Fed policymakers.

US Dollar Index (DXY) began Wednesday on a firmer footing before retreating towards 108.50 as equities pared recent losses amid a lack of too-strong US data. Also exerting downside pressure on the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies was the indecision among the latest Fedspeak and market chatters that Fed Chair Powell may repeat his economic fears and may refrain from too hawkish comments at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

Talking about the US data, Durable Goods Order for July dropped to 0.0% versus 0.6% expected and an upwardly revised 2.2% previous reading. However, Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft rose past 0.3% market consensus to 0.4%, versus 0.9% prior. Further, Pending Home Sales improved to -1.0% MoM in July versus -4.0% expected and -8.9% prior (revised down from -8.6%). On a yearly basis, the Pending Home Sales decreased by 19.9%, versus the previous contraction of 20.0%.

It should be noted that Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari mentioned that the biggest fear is that we are misreading underlying inflation dynamics, per Reuters. The policymaker also added that the Fed can relax on rate hikes when compelling evidence of CPI heading toward 2% is seen.

On the other hand, an influential economist Marcel Fratzscher of the German Institute for Economic Research mentioned, per Reuters, “The economic impact on Germany of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will last years.”

Elsewhere, Sara Johnson, Executive Director of Economic Research at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in a statement on Wednesday, that global growth is likely to remain subdued in late 2022 and 2023 while inflation is seen moderating over the next two years.

Amid these plays, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose the most in a week while refreshing a two-month high around 3.10% whereas the Wall Street benchmarks printed mild gains.

Moving on, Final readings of Germany’s second quarter (Q2) GDP and the second version of the US Q2 GDP will join the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for the said period to decorate the calendar. Also important to watch will be the monthly prints of Germany’s IFO sentiment figures. However, major attention will be given to Jackson Hole for fresh impulse.

Doji candlestick at the multi-year low joins nearly oversold RSI to suggest that the EUR/USD bears are running out of fuel.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 0.9969 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9969 and is trading with a change of 0.00% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.9969
1 Today Daily Change 0.0000
2 Today Daily Change % 0.00%
3 Today daily open 0.9969

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.0173, 50 SMA 1.0258, 100 SMA @ 1.0458 and 200 SMA @ 1.0848.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.0173
1 Daily SMA50 1.0258
2 Daily SMA100 1.0458
3 Daily SMA200 1.0848

The previous day high was 1.0018 while the previous day low was 0.9901. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9973, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9946, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.9907, 0.9845, 0.9789
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0025, 1.008, 1.0142
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.0018
Previous Daily Low 0.9901
Previous Weekly High 1.0268
Previous Weekly Low 1.0032
Previous Monthly High 1.0486
Previous Monthly Low 0.9952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9973
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9946
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9907
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9845
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9789
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0025
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0080
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0142

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