The DXY is eyeing recapturing its 19-year high at 109.30 as investors turn risk-averse ahead of Jackson Hole.
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- The DXY is eyeing recapturing its 19-year high at 109.30 as investors turn risk-averse ahead of Jackson Hole.
- The Fed is expected to discuss the 50 bps rate hike this time.
- A downbeat US Durable Goods Orders data may halt the DXY’s rally.
The pair currently trades last at 108.94.
The previous day high was 109.11 while the previous day low was 108.08. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 108.71, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 108.47, expected to provide support.
The US dollar index (DXY) is on the verge of giving an upside break of the consolidation formed in a narrow range of 108.86-109.10. The DXY is aiming to recapture its fresh 19-year high at 109.29, which was earlier recorded last month. As anxiety over the commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is accelerating, investors are hiding behind the mighty DXY.
In the commentary from Fed chair Jerome Powell over the economic situation of the US, price pressures, and the consequences of liquidity shrinkage in the economy, investors will keenly focus on policy guidance. The investing community is aware of the evidence of exhaustion in the price pressures. Therefore, the Fed is expected to scale down its hawkish tone and will discuss a rate hike by half a percent in September.
As per the preliminary estimates, the US Durable Goods Orders data is expected to trim drastically to 0.5% from the prior release of 2%. The market participants are aware of the fact that the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained steady at 5.9%. Despite that, a slump in the Durable Goods Orders indicates a decline in the overall demand. An occurrence of the same could bring significant offers for the DXY.
Key data this week: S&P Global Purchase Managers Index (PMI), New Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders, Pending Home Sales, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Preliminary), Initial Jobless Claims, and Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE).
Major events this week: Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 108.94 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 108.96 and is trading with a change of -0.02 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 108.94 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.02 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.02 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 108.96 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 106.45, 50 SMA 106.12, 100 SMA @ 104.11 and 200 SMA @ 100.37.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 106.45 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 106.12 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 104.11 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 100.37 |
The previous day high was 109.11 while the previous day low was 108.08. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 108.71, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 108.47, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 108.33, 107.69, 107.3
- Pivot resistance is noted at 109.35, 109.74, 110.38
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 109.11 |
| Previous Daily Low | 108.08 |
| Previous Weekly High | 108.21 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 105.55 |
| Previous Monthly High | 109.29 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 104.69 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 108.71 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 108.47 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 108.33 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 107.69 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 107.30 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 109.35 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 109.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 110.38 |
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