WTI recovered from reaching a daily low of around $86.29 and finished up 0.80%.
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- WTI recovered from reaching a daily low of around $86.29 and finished up 0.80%.
- US Department of State noted that a nuclear deal with Iran is closer now, a headwind for oil prices.
- Oil traders are worried about a possible US recession and China’s economic slowdown.
The pair currently trades last at 90.48.
The previous day high was 91.64 while the previous day low was 87.91. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 89.33, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 90.21, expected to provide support.
Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, recovered some ground on Monday, rallying late after the Wall Street close, up by 2.36%. At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $90.48 per barrel.
WTI’s price action witnessed the black gold hitting a daily low at $86.29 PB, but as the New York session progressed and news that the OPEC+ saying that they will need to tighten output to stabilize the market augmented oil’s appeal. So WTI rallied since the mid-North American session and trades above its opening price.
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said OPEC+ could cut output against the possibility of a nuclear deal agreement with Iran, which could return the sanctioned country to the oil market.
Meanwhile, discussions between EU members and the US appear to be progressing, as stated by a US Department of State note, saying that a nuclear deal is closer now than It was two weeks ago.
Earlier during the day, oil prices tumbled on worries that China’s demand for oil could diminish, fueled by fears of a possible economic slowdown further cemented by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cutting rates from its main lender benchmark rate. Additionally, US recession fears are lingering in traders’ minds, with the US Federal Reserve set to continue tightening monetary policy as they battle to tame inflation towards its 2% goal.
In the meantime, the US Dollar Index is rising 0.78%, sitting at 108.950, its highest level in six weeks, another reason for the US dollar-denominated commodity to extend its losses.
All that said, investors’ focus shifts to Friday’s US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, where market participants expect him to reassure that the Fed is committed to tackling inflation, despite ongoing recession fears.
From a daily chart perspective, WTI is slightly neutral-to-downward biased, but it could be headed upwards in the near term. Why? Because a falling wedge emerged, and as price action progresses, WTI is about to break upwards, putting into play a test of the 20-day EMA at $91.78, the 200-day EMA at $95.65, and the 50-day EMA at $99.56.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 90.48 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 89.62 and is trading with a change of 0.96 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 90.48 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.86 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.96 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 89.62 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 91.59, 50 SMA 98.89, 100 SMA @ 102.93 and 200 SMA @ 94.63.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 91.59 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 98.89 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 102.93 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 94.63 |
The previous day high was 91.64 while the previous day low was 87.91. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 89.33, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 90.21, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 87.81, 85.99, 84.07
- Pivot resistance is noted at 91.54, 93.46, 95.28
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 91.64 |
| Previous Daily Low | 87.91 |
| Previous Weekly High | 91.64 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 85.39 |
| Previous Monthly High | 109.54 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 88.34 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 89.33 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 90.21 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 87.81 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 85.99 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 84.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 91.54 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 93.46 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 95.28 |
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