WTI explores territory north of $78.00 as barrel prices remain bid. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• WTI explores territory north of $78.00 as barrel prices remain bid.
• Global demand concerns outweighed by Middle East tensions.
• Fresh attacks by Houthis and the ongoing Gaza conflict keeping barrel prices high.

The pair currently trades last at 78.15.

The previous day high was 78.47 while the previous day low was 76.63. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 77.76, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 77.33, expected to provide support.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil tested above $78.00 per barrel on Monday, finding room to the upside with US markets darkened for the American President’s Day federal holiday.

Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen continue to launch attacks on civilian cargo ships in the Red Sea, disrupting key trade routes between Europe and Asia since last November. Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for an attack on an oil tanker bound for India over the weekend, alongside fresh reports of attacks on Monday as shipping lanes through the Suez Canal continue to come under threat.

The ongoing conflict in Gaza between Israel and Palestinian Hamas looks set to continue unabated as an ongoing ceasefire negotiation continues to come up short. Israel’s negotiation team did not return to the talks table in Qatar over the weekend and a ceasefire deal appears unlikely.

Despite Middle East tensions keeping concerns pinned about hypothetical supply constraints in energy markets, ANZ researchers noted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has hit an eight-year high in excess capacity. According to ANZ, OPEC has enough slack in its production cycle to absorb an excess of 6.4 million barrels per day.

WTI US Crude Oil remands bid into near-term highs, testing $78.00 and bolstered above the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $76.60.

WTI Crude Oil prices have seen a choppy, halting recovery after hitting a low of $67.97 in December, and WTI is still down nearly 17% from last September’s peak bids near $94.00 per barrel.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XTIUSD currently trading at 78.15 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 78.21 and is trading with a change of -0.08 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 75.81, 50 SMA 73.85, 100 SMA @ 76.91 and 200 SMA @ 77.45.

The previous day high was 78.47 while the previous day low was 76.63. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 77.76, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 77.33, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 77.07, 75.93, 75.24
• Pivot resistance is noted at 78.91, 79.6, 80.74

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