The NZDUSD pair is continuing its decline and is currently trading near 0.5938 in the early Asian session.

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The NZDUSD pair is continuing its decline and is currently trading near 0.5938 in the early Asian session.

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  • NZD/USD extends its downside, currently trades near 0.5938 in the early Asian session.
  • RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr also offered a hawkish signal to rein in rising inflation expectations.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) official saw significant inflationary risks, additional tightening of monetary policy may be required.
  • Market players will keep an eye on the US weekly jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.59381.

    The previous day high was 0.5997 while the previous day low was 0.5947. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5966, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5978, expected to provide resistance.

    The NZD/USD pair loses ground and breaks below the 0.5650 area during the early Asian session on Thursday. The pair trades in negative territory for the seventh consecutive day after retreating from a weekly high of 0.5993. NZD/USD currently trades around 0.5938, up 0.02% on the day.

    The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the benchmark interest rates unchanged at 5.5%, as expected on Wednesday. According to the World Interest Rate Possibilities Tool (WIRP), markets anticipate that RBNZ will not hike additional rates and will begin to ease in H2 2024.

    Earlier on Thursday, RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr also offered a hawkish signal to rein in rising inflation expectations. Orr stated that the drivers of inflation have changed over time, but they have all been skewed towards higher inflation than otherwise.

    The latest data from Statistics New Zealand showed that the Q2 Producer Price Index Input QoQ came in at -0.2% versus 0.2% prior. On the same line, the output figure declined to 0.2%, worse than the 0.7% expected and the previous reading of 0.3%.

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its July meeting. The Fed official saw significant inflationary risks and it may need additional tightening of monetary policy to bring inflation to the longer-run target. The hawkish statement and the stronger US economic data are the main drivers for the strengthening of the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of USD against six other major currencies, extends its upside above 103.45, the highest level since June.

    On Wednesday, US Industrial Production increased 1.0% in July, against market expectations of 0.3% and -0.8% prior. Meanwhile, Building Permits for July climbed to 1.442 million from 1.441 million, while Housing Starts rose to 1.452 million from 1.398 million in June, and 1.448 million expected. Both the Change in Building Permits and the Change in Housing Starts exceeded market expectations and previous readings.

    Looking ahead, investors will monitor the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending August 11 and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August. The data will be critical for determining a clear movement for the NZD/USD pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    NZDUSD currently trading at 0.594 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5951 and is trading with a change of -0.18 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.5940
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0011
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.1800
    3 Today daily open 0.5951

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.612, 50 SMA 0.616, 100 SMA @ 0.6179 and 200 SMA @ 0.6233.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.6120
    1 Daily SMA50 0.6160
    2 Daily SMA100 0.6179
    3 Daily SMA200 0.6233

    The previous day high was 0.5997 while the previous day low was 0.5947. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5966, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5978, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.5933, 0.5915, 0.5883
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.5983, 0.6015, 0.6033
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.5997
    Previous Daily Low 0.5947
    Previous Weekly High 0.6118
    Previous Weekly Low 0.5974
    Previous Monthly High 0.6413
    Previous Monthly Low 0.6120
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5966
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5978
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5933
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5915
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5883
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5983
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6015
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6033

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