The USDCHF pair is stuck within a narrow range due to a lackluster performance by the US Dollar.

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The USDCHF pair is stuck within a narrow range due to a lackluster performance by the US Dollar.

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  • USD/CHF remains confined in a tight range amid a subdued US Dollar.
  • US Retail Sales came in above expectations.
  • Swiss Producer and Import Prices YoY for July came in at -0.6%, against the expectation of 0.5%.
  • The FOMC Minutes will be the key event this week.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.87800.

    The previous day high was 0.8828 while the previous day low was 0.8738. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8793, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8772, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CHF oscillates around the 0.8745–0.8800 region in a narrow trading band during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against six other major currencies, consolidates its recent gains near 103.20.

    The economic data released on Tuesday revealed that US Retail Sales came in above expectations. The headline figure climbed by 0.7% MoM, higher than the 0.4% estimated. Sales excluding the Automobile sector came in at 1%, versus the expected 0.4%. Lastly, the NY Empire Manufacturing Index for August declined to -19 from -1.

    Minnesota’s Federal Reserve (Fed) President Neil Kashkari stated that he is pleased with the progress on inflation, but it is still too high. Kashkari noted the uncertainty regarding whether the Fed has done enough or needs to do more.

    On the Swiss franc front, the Swiss Producer and Import Prices YoY for July came in at -0.6%, against the expectation of 0.5%. On a monthly basis, the figure contracted at 0.1% versus 0% prior. According to Bloomberg, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 2% in its September meeting.

    Furthermore, the headling surrounding the US-China relationship remains in focus. As a result of President Joe Biden’s decision to restrict certain US technology investments in China, US investors have expressed concern that Beijing may retaliate or cease purchasing American technology. The renewed trade tension might benefit the safe-haven Swiss Franc and act as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair.

    Moving on, the US Building Permits, Housing Starts, and Industrial Production will be released on Wednesday. However, the FOMC minutes will be the key event this week. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the USD/CHF pair.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8787 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8784 and is trading with a change of 0.03 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8787
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0003
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0300
    3 Today daily open 0.8784

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8705, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.8836 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.8918 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9118

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8705
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8836
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8918
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9118

    The previous day high was 0.8828 while the previous day low was 0.8738. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8793, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8772, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8738, 0.8693, 0.8648
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8828, 0.8873, 0.8919
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8828
    Previous Daily Low 0.8738
    Previous Weekly High 0.8783
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8690
    Previous Monthly High 0.9005
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8552
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8793
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8772
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8738
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8693
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8648
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8828
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8873
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8919

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