#USDMXN @ 18.0887 picks up bids to refresh intraday high, consolidates the biggest daily loss in a month., @nehcap view: Limited recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDMXN @ 18.0887 picks up bids to refresh intraday high, consolidates the biggest daily loss in a month., @nehcap view: Limited recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/MXN picks up bids to refresh intraday high, consolidates the biggest daily loss in a month.
  • Bearish MACD signals challenge Mexican Peso sellers, 200-EMA acts as additional upside hurdle for the pair.
  • Multiple levels towards the south challenge USD/MXN bears inside three-week-old triangle.

The pair currently trades last at 18.0887.

The previous day high was 18.2 while the previous day low was 18.0182. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.0877, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.1306, expected to provide resistance.

USD/MXN renews its intraday high near 18.09 as it pares the biggest daily loss in one month during early Friday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair remains inside a three-week-old symmetrical triangle, reversing the pullback from the top of late.

It’s worth noting that the pair’s repeated failures to cross the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) join bearish MACD signals to keep the USD/MXN bears hopeful despite the pair’s latest rebound.

That said, the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the USD/MXN’s April 05-16 fall, respectively near 18.11 and 18.16, act as nearby resistance for the buyers to watch before challenging the stated triangle’s top line, close to 18.18.

Following that, the 200-EMA level of 18.20 can act as the last defense of the bears before signaling a run-up toward the monthly high of near 18.40.

Alternatively, a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement puts the short-term price limit under the pair near 18.04, a break of which will highlight the aforementioned triangle’s lower line, currently around the 18.00 round figure.

In a case where the USD/MXN bears keep the reins, the monthly low near 17.93 and the previous monthly bottom surrounding 17.89 can prod the downside moves before signaling a fall towards the year 2017 trough of around 17.44.

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDMXN currently trading at 18.0834 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 18.0389 and is trading with a change of 0.25% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 18.0834
1 Today Daily Change 0.0445
2 Today Daily Change % 0.25%
3 Today daily open 18.0389

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 18.086, 50 SMA 18.2758, 100 SMA @ 18.6967 and 200 SMA @ 19.3062.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 18.0860
1 Daily SMA50 18.2758
2 Daily SMA100 18.6967
3 Daily SMA200 19.3062

The previous day high was 18.2 while the previous day low was 18.0182. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.0877, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.1306, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 17.9714, 17.9039, 17.7895
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 18.1532, 18.2676, 18.3351
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 18.2000
Previous Daily Low 18.0182
Previous Weekly High 18.1542
Previous Weekly Low 17.9329
Previous Monthly High 19.2324
Previous Monthly Low 17.8977
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 18.0877
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 18.1306
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.9714
Daily Pivot Point S2 17.9039
Daily Pivot Point S3 17.7895
Daily Pivot Point R1 18.1532
Daily Pivot Point R2 18.2676
Daily Pivot Point R3 18.3351

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