#USDMXN @ 18.0887 picks up bids to refresh intraday high, consolidates the biggest daily loss in a month., @nehcap view: Limited recovery expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/MXN picks up bids to refresh intraday high, consolidates the biggest daily loss in a month.
- Bearish MACD signals challenge Mexican Peso sellers, 200-EMA acts as additional upside hurdle for the pair.
- Multiple levels towards the south challenge USD/MXN bears inside three-week-old triangle.
The pair currently trades last at 18.0887.
The previous day high was 18.2 while the previous day low was 18.0182. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.0877, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.1306, expected to provide resistance.
USD/MXN renews its intraday high near 18.09 as it pares the biggest daily loss in one month during early Friday. In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair remains inside a three-week-old symmetrical triangle, reversing the pullback from the top of late.
It’s worth noting that the pair’s repeated failures to cross the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) join bearish MACD signals to keep the USD/MXN bears hopeful despite the pair’s latest rebound.
That said, the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the USD/MXN’s April 05-16 fall, respectively near 18.11 and 18.16, act as nearby resistance for the buyers to watch before challenging the stated triangle’s top line, close to 18.18.
Following that, the 200-EMA level of 18.20 can act as the last defense of the bears before signaling a run-up toward the monthly high of near 18.40.
Alternatively, a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement puts the short-term price limit under the pair near 18.04, a break of which will highlight the aforementioned triangle’s lower line, currently around the 18.00 round figure.
In a case where the USD/MXN bears keep the reins, the monthly low near 17.93 and the previous monthly bottom surrounding 17.89 can prod the downside moves before signaling a fall towards the year 2017 trough of around 17.44.
Trend: Limited recovery expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDMXN currently trading at 18.0834 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 18.0389 and is trading with a change of 0.25% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 18.0834 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0445 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.25% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 18.0389 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 18.086, 50 SMA 18.2758, 100 SMA @ 18.6967 and 200 SMA @ 19.3062.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 18.0860 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 18.2758 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 18.6967 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 19.3062 |
The previous day high was 18.2 while the previous day low was 18.0182. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 18.0877, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 18.1306, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 17.9714, 17.9039, 17.7895
- Pivot resistance is noted at 18.1532, 18.2676, 18.3351
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 18.2000 |
| Previous Daily Low | 18.0182 |
| Previous Weekly High | 18.1542 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 17.9329 |
| Previous Monthly High | 19.2324 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 17.8977 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 18.0877 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 18.1306 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 17.9714 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 17.9039 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 17.7895 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 18.1532 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 18.2676 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 18.3351 |
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