The currency pair USDCAD, currently at a rate of 1.34623, continues to remain unchanged following a recent increase in value. It has managed to recover some of its losses during the day.

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The currency pair USDCAD, currently at a rate of 1.34623, continues to remain unchanged following a recent increase in value. It has managed to recover some of its losses during the day.

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  • USD/CAD remains sidelined after poking monthly high the previous day, pares intraday losses of late.
  • Downbeat US inflation expectations, cautious optimism joins consolidation ahead of key data/events to weigh on US Dollar.
  • WTI crude oil cheers softer US Dollar, hopes of China stimulus and PBoC rate cut to recover.
  • US Retail Sales, Canada inflation clues will join risk catalysts to entertain intraday traders of Loonie pair.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.34623.

    The previous day high was 1.348 while the previous day low was 1.3437. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3463, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3453, expected to provide support.

    USD/CAD clings to mild losses near 1.3450 as it seesaws at the weekly top marked the previous day amid early Tuesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Loonie pair aptly portrays the cautious mood ahead of the top-tier statistics from the US and Canada.

    It’s worth noting that the recent retreat of the US Dollar Index (DXY) contrasts with a pick-up in the WTI crude oil price, Canada’s main export item, to challenge the pair’s upside amid mixed clues.

    Having refreshed a five-week high the previous day, the DXY prints the first daily loss in four around 103.05 by the press time, after witnessing downbeat inflation clues. That said, the New York Fed’s one-year inflation expectations eased to 3.5% for July, down three points by falling to the lowest level since April 2021. New York Fed survey, however, also suggested confidence in positive labor market conditions and economic transition.

    On the other hand, the WTI crude oil rises 0.40% intraday to $83.25 as it reverses the previous day’s fall to a one-week low. While the US Dollar’s pullback and the market’s cautious optimism can be cited as the key catalysts for the Oil Price rebound, the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) surprise rate cuts and readiness for further stimulus adds strength to the black gold’s corrective bounce as Beijing is one of the world’s biggest crude oil customer.

    It should be noted that sluggish US Treasury bond yields, after refreshing the yearly top, also prods the USD/CAD buyers. That said, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields seesaw at the highest level since November 2022, marked the previous day, making rounds to 4.20% by the press time. While portraying the mood, stock futures of the US and Europe remain mildly positive and prod the DXY bulls.

    Moving forward, the US Retail Sales for July, expected 0.4% MoM versus 0.2% prior, will be important to watch for immediate directions. Also important will be Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July and the Bank of Canada (BoC) CPI Core for the said month, not to forget the risk catalysts and the energy market updates.

    A five-month-old descending resistance line joins the overbought RSI (14) to challenge the USD/CAD buyers around 1.3465-70.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.346 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3461 and is trading with a change of -0.01% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.346
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0001
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.01%
    3 Today daily open 1.3461

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.3293, 50 SMA 1.3269, 100 SMA @ 1.3386 and 200 SMA @ 1.345.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3293
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3269
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3386
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3450

    The previous day high was 1.348 while the previous day low was 1.3437. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3463, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3453, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3438, 1.3416, 1.3395
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3482, 1.3502, 1.3525
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3480
    Previous Daily Low 1.3437
    Previous Weekly High 1.3502
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3356
    Previous Monthly High 1.3387
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3093
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3463
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3453
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3438
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3416
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3395
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3482
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3502
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3525

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