Silver price at $22.575 experiences a decline after rebounding from a support line that has been in place for the past five months, as US Retail Sales data for July approaches. The viewpoint of @nehcap suggests that the decrease in price is anticipated to be minimal.

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• Silver Price fades bounces off five-month-old support line ahead of US Retail Sales for July.

The pair currently trades last at 22.575.

The previous day high was 22.76 while the previous day low was 22.37. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 22.52, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 22.61, expected to provide resistance.

Silver Price (XAG/USD) remains pressured at the lowest level in 11 weeks, bouncing off ascending support line from mid-March.

In doing so, the XAG/USD justifies the bearish MACD signals and a clear downside break of the $23.30 resistance confluence comprising the 200-DMA and previous support line stretched from March 10.

It’s worth noting, however, that the oversold RSI (14) challenges the XAG/USD bears, which in turn highlights the rising support line from March 15, around $22.45.

Following that, an ascending support line from September 2022 and a 50% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to May 2023 upside, near $21.85-90, will be a crucial challenge for the Silver bears before tightening the grip.

Meanwhile, the Silver Price recovery past $23.30 becomes necessary to convince the Silver buyers.

Even so, the tops marked in June and July of 2023, respectively near $24.50 and $25.30, can prod the Silver buyers before giving them control.

In that case, the yearly high marked in May at around $26.15 will be in the spotlight.

Fundamentally, China’s Industrial Production and Retail Sales for July will be closely observed amid fears of losing economic momentum in the world’s second-biggest economy. Later in the day, the US Retail Sales for the said month will be more important as market players keep betting on the Fed’s policy pivot in September, which in turn may weigh on the US Dollar and favor the XAG/USD rebound should the scheduled data weakens.

Trend: Limited downside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAGUSD currently trading at 22.57 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 22.6 and is trading with a change of -0.13% % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 23.93, 50 SMA 23.64, 100 SMA @ 24.05 and 200 SMA @ 23.26.

The previous day high was 22.76 while the previous day low was 22.37. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 22.52, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 22.61, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 22.39, 22.18, 21.99
• Pivot resistance is noted at 22.79, 22.97, 23.18

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