#AUDUSD @ 0.67825 seesaws around five-week high after positing the biggest daily jump in three months., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD seesaws around five-week high after positing the biggest daily jump in three months.
- Convergence of 200-EMA, three-week-old ascending trend line challenges Aussie pair buyers.
- Hopes of dovish rate hike also raise doubts about bullish bias.
- Upbeat RSI, bullish MACD signals keep AUD/USD buyers hopeful unless the quote stays beyond 100-EMA.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67825.
The previous day high was 0.679 while the previous day low was 0.6651. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6737, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6704, expected to provide support.
AUD/USD aptly portrays the pre-RBA anxiety as it makes rounds to 0.6780-85 during early Tuesday, following the strongest daily run-up since early January.
Mixed concerns about the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Interest Rate Decision challenge the AUD/USD bulls even if a clear upside break of the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps them hopeful.
Also read: AUD/USD aptly portrays pre-RBA anxiety at five-week top below 0.6800
Adding strength to the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI (14) line, not overbought.
However, a convergence of the 200-day EMA and an upward-sloping resistance line from mid-March, around 0.6820 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the AUD/USD buyers.
Following that, the 0.6900 and the 0.7000 round figure may act as intermediate halts during the likely run-up targeting the mid-February swing high of around 0.7030.
Meanwhile, pullback moves need to conquer the 100-day EMA level of 0.6770 to convince short-term AUD/USD sellers.
Even so, 0.6720 and the previous day’s low surrounding 0.6650 could challenge the pair bears before giving them control. In that case, the Year-To-Date low of 0.6564 will be in focus.
Trend: Limited upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6784 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6785 and is trading with a change of -0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6784 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0001 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6785 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6665, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6815 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.68 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6751
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6665 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6815 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6800 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6751 |
The previous day high was 0.679 while the previous day low was 0.6651. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6737, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6704, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6694, 0.6603, 0.6555
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6833, 0.6881, 0.6972
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6790 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6651 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6738 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6634 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6784 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6564 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6737 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6704 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6694 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6603 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6555 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6833 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6881 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6972 |
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