#EURGBP @ 0.88046 looks vulnerable around 0.8800 as hawkish BoE bets soar after a recovery in UK preliminary PMI data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• EUR/GBP looks vulnerable around 0.8800 as hawkish BoE bets soar after a recovery in UK preliminary PMI data.
• UK’s Hunt is facing calls from within his Conservative Party to cut taxes and raise pay for public service workers.
• ECB Lagarde is set to continue its policy tightening spell of 50 bps to March.

The pair currently trades last at 0.88046.

The previous day high was 0.8822 while the previous day low was 0.8784. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8808, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8799, expected to provide support.

The EUR/GBP pair is struggling to find any direction in the Tokyo session amid the absence of a potential trigger. The cross is juggling around 0.8800 and is expected to display more weakness as an economic recovery in the United Kingdom and a shortage of labor is demanding the continuation of policy tightening by the Bank of England (BoE).

Investors were in a dilemma whether the Bank of England (BoE) should pause policy contraction as the economic outlook was expected extremely bleak or continue pushing rates higher to tame stubborn inflation. Shortage of labor and escalating food inflation is continuously maintaining havoc that the inflation could be underpinned anytime to new highs.

No doubt, the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) has eased in the past few months, however, the headline CPI figure is still in double-digit and sufficient to trouble households.

Meanwhile, a recovery in the economic activities shown by the preliminary S&P Global PMI (Feb) data, released this week, indicates that labor demand could be fueled further and BoE Governor Andrew Bailey should consider continuation of policy tightening. A figure below 50.0 for the preliminary Manufacturing activities indicates contraction, however, the pace of decline in activities has squeezed significantly.

BoE panel sees the interest rate peak around 4.5% and the continuation of the rate hike in the March monetary policy meeting looks warranted.

Meanwhile, UK Finance Minister (FM) Jeremy Hunt is facing calls from within his Conservative Party to cut taxes in his March 15 budget and from trade unions to raise pay for public service workers, as reported by Reuters, which could propel inflationary pressures further.

On the Eurozone front, clarity on the extent of the rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has eased some uncertainty. ECB Lagarde has announced a continuation of 50 bps rate hike spree for March to keep the downside momentum in Eurozone inflation intact.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURGBP currently trading at 0.8806 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8804 and is trading with a change of 0.02 % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8856, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.8825 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.8751 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.8657

The previous day high was 0.8822 while the previous day low was 0.8784. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8808, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8799, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.8784, 0.8765, 0.8746
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8823, 0.8842, 0.8862

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