#AUDUSD @ 0.68290 has extended its recovery to near 0.6840 as investors have started ignoring the hawkish Fed minutes’ impact. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.68290 has extended its recovery to near 0.6840 as investors have started ignoring the hawkish Fed minutes’ impact. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD has extended its recovery to near 0.6840 as investors have started ignoring the hawkish Fed minutes’ impact.
  • The upbeat market mood has resulted in a meaningful correction in the US Dollar Index to near 104.00.
  • A decline in the Australian labor cost index might not impact the decision of policy tightening continuation by the RBA.

The pair currently trades last at 0.68290.

The previous day high was 0.6865 while the previous day low was 0.6795. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6822, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6838, expected to provide resistance.

The AUD/USD pair has stretched its recovery to near 0.6840 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset has picked strength as investors have shrugged-off volatility inspired by the release of the hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes released in the late New York session.

A sheer recovery has been observed in the S&P500 futures after a choppy Wednesday, portraying a stellar rebound by the risk-appetite theme. The upbeat market mood has resulted in a meaningful correction in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has slipped firmly to near 104.00 despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers in a hurry to reach the interest rate peak to bring down the inflationary pressures.

Fed chair Jerome Powell and his mates are worried that the strong labor market and a recovery in consumer spending could trigger a revival in the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI). The FOMC minutes conveyed that two policymakers Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard were not in favor of decelerating the pace of hiking rates again. Investors should be aware that the Fed also trimmed the policy tightening pace in December monetary policy meeting to 50 basis points (bps) after hiking interest rates four times consecutively by 75 bps.

Meanwhile, the absence of meaningful easing signals in the Australian inflation is bolstering the case of policy tightening continuation by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). On Wednesday, Australia’s Wage Price Index (Q4) was escalated by 0.8% lower than the consensus of 1.0% on a quarterly basis. This might have provided relief to the RBA as lower funds with households would result in lower spending. However, more rate hikes cannot be paused as the current inflation is four times more than the desired target.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6831 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6805 and is trading with a change of 0.38 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6831
1 Today Daily Change 0.0026
2 Today Daily Change % 0.3800
3 Today daily open 0.6805

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6965, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.689 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6718 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6804

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6965
1 Daily SMA50 0.6890
2 Daily SMA100 0.6718
3 Daily SMA200 0.6804

The previous day high was 0.6865 while the previous day low was 0.6795. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6822, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6838, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6778, 0.6752, 0.6708
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6848, 0.6891, 0.6918
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6865
Previous Daily Low 0.6795
Previous Weekly High 0.7030
Previous Weekly Low 0.6812
Previous Monthly High 0.7143
Previous Monthly Low 0.6688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6822
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6838
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6778
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6752
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6708
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6848
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6891
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6918

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