#EURUSD @ 1.06715 stays depressed around five-week low as bears poke ascending trend line from November 30., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD stays depressed around five-week low as bears poke ascending trend line from November 30.
- Clear downside break of the 50-DMA, 12-week-long previous support joins bearish MACD signals to favor EUR/USD sellers.
- Buyers have a bumpy road to return unless crossing 1.0800.
The pair currently trades last at 1.06715.
The previous day high was 1.0753 while the previous day low was 1.0666. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0699, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.072, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/USD bears roll up their sleeves while poking the short-term key support around 1.0660 during Monday’s Asian session, following a two-week downtrend.
The major currency pair’s bearish performance could be linked to the previous week’s downside break of the 50-DMA, as well as an upward-sloping trend line from November 21, 2022, now resistance near 1.0690.
Adding strength to the downside bias are the strongest bearish MACD signals since September 2022.
Hence, the quote is all set to conquer the immediate 1.0660 support, which in turn pens the south-run towards the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the EUR/USD run-up from November 2022 to February 2023, respectively near 1.0630 and 1.0530.
It’s worth noting, however, that the previous monthly low around 1.0480 could challenge the EUR/USD bears past 1.0530.
On the contrary, recovery moves need to cross the immediate support-turned-resistance line from November, close to 1.0690, to convince traders. Even so, the 50-DMA could probe the EUR/USD pair buyers around 1.0710.
Following that, a two-month-old ascending resistance line near 1.0800 becomes crucial for the EUR/USD buyers.
Overall, EUR/USD is likely to extend its south-run as traders await the key US inflation data.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.067 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0679 and is trading with a change of -0.08% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.067 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0009 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.08% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0679 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0825, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0706 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0363 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0323
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0825 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0706 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0363 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0323 |
The previous day high was 1.0753 while the previous day low was 1.0666. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0699, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.072, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0646, 1.0613, 1.0559
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0733, 1.0786, 1.0819
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0753 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0666 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0799 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0666 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0930 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0483 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0699 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0720 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0646 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0613 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0559 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0733 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0786 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0819 |
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