#NZDUSD @ 0.63202 has printed a fresh day low at 0.6315 on lower-than expected China CPI data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• NZD/USD has printed a fresh day low at 0.6315 on lower-than expected China CPI data.
• China’s PPI has reported a deflation by 0.8% higher than the projections of 0.5% and the former release of 0.7%.
• The upbeat US labor market could propel consumer spending ahead.

The pair currently trades last at 0.63202.

The previous day high was 0.6391 while the previous day low was 0.6303. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6357, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6337, expected to provide resistance.

The NZD/USD pair has dropped sharply below 0.6320 as the China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has reported lower-than-anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Jan) data. The annual inflation data has landed at 2.1% lower than the consensus of 2.2% but higher than the prior release of 1.8%. Monthly inflation figure has shown a deflation by 0.8% against an expansion in the inflationary pressures by 0.7%.

China’s Producer Price Index (PPI) has shown a deflation by 0.8% higher than the projections of 0.5% and the former release of 0.7%. It indicates that producers are heavily cutting prices of goods and services at factory gates. This shows an expression of weak demand by the households.

Chinese administration and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) might continue to remain expansionary on stimulus and monetary policy respectively as the economy is recovering after dismantling the pandemic controls.

There is no denying the fact that inflationary pressures in the Chinese economy will elevate ahead as higher stimulus will push commodities in the bullish trajectory. A similar case has been witnessed by western and other Asian countries after they recovered from the pandemic period.

It is worth noting that New Zealand is one of the leading trading partners of China and lower inflation will compel for more stimulus, which will provide support to the New Zealand Dollar.

Meanwhile, the risk tone is negative as investors are getting anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will release next week. S&P500 futures ended Thursday’s session on a weak note as the street is considering higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) ahead. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to sustain above 103.00.

After the release of the strong labor report for January month, a surprise jump in the inflation figures cannot be ruled out. Higher employment could result in higher consumer spending, which carries the potential of fueling consumer spending.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6323 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6322 and is trading with a change of 0.02 % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6422, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6374 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6124 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6188

The previous day high was 0.6391 while the previous day low was 0.6303. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6357, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6337, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6286, 0.6251, 0.6198
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6374, 0.6427, 0.6462

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