#USDCHF @ 0.92038 prints three-day downtrend to approach short-term key support line., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF prints three-day downtrend to approach short-term key support line.
- Impending bear cross between 50-HMA and 100-HMA keep sellers hopeful amid mostly steady RSI.
- Bullish MACD signals, one-week-old ascending trend line hold the gate for bear’s entry.
The pair currently trades last at 0.92038.
The previous day high was 0.9224 while the previous day low was 0.9178. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9196, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9206, expected to provide resistance.
USD/CHF sellers attack the 0.9200 threshold to refresh the intraday low early Thursday. In doing so, the Swiss Franc pair prints a three-day losing streak while justifying the trend-supportive RSI (14), as well as ignoring bullish MACD signals.
Other than the RSI (14) conditions, the 50-Hour Moving Average’s (HMA) piercing of the 100-HMA from above portrays the bear cross and also favors the USD/CHF bears.
However, a one-week-old ascending trend line challenges the USD/CHF sellers around 0.9195, a break of which could give them control.
Following that, a downward trajectory toward the monthly low of 0.9060 can’t be ruled out. During the fall, 0.9125 and 0.9100 levels may act as intermediate halts.
In a case where USD/CHF remains bearish past 0.9060, the August 2022 low near 0.9020 and the 0.9000 psychological magnet may lure the pair sellers.
On the flip side, recovery moves remain elusive unless staying below the convergence of the 50-HMA and the 100-HMA, around .9225.
Even so, an upward-sloping resistance line from January 24, close to 0.9295, will precede the 0.9300 threshold to challenge the USD/CHF bulls.
Overall, USD/CHF is likely to decline further but the sellers await the 0.9195 breakdown.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.9205 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9209 and is trading with a change of -0.04% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9205 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0004 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.04% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9209 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.921, 50 SMA 0.9272, 100 SMA @ 0.9536 and 200 SMA @ 0.9611.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9210 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9272 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9536 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9611 |
The previous day high was 0.9224 while the previous day low was 0.9178. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9196, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9206, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9183, 0.9158, 0.9138
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9229, 0.9249, 0.9275
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9224 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9178 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9288 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9059 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9410 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9085 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9196 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9206 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9183 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9158 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9138 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9229 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9249 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9275 |
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