#GBPUSD @ 1.20700 is expected to witness more downside below 1.2050 amid the souring market mood. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD is expected to witness more downside below 1.2050 amid the souring market mood.
- Fed policymakers have cleared that the battle against stubborn inflation will continue for a more extended period.
- The UK GDP is expected to display a flat performance on a quarterly basis on Friday.
The pair currently trades last at 1.20700.
The previous day high was 1.2096 while the previous day low was 1.1961. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2044, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2013, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair has gradually dropped to near 1.2065 and is expected to continue its downside journey after surrendering the immediate support of 1.2050. The Cable is struggling to maintain its feet as the risk appetite of the market participants has trimmed significantly. The odds of the continuation of the policy tightening streak by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is fading the appeal for risk-perceived assets.
S&P500 sensed a steep selling interest on Wednesday as Fed policymakers have cleared that the battle against stubborn inflation will continue for a longer period. Accordingly, the Fed would consider keeping higher interest rates for a more extended period to achieve price stability.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is aiming to sustain itself above 103.00 as the street is expecting that strong demand for labor will be followed by higher employment bills. Job seekers might be having more negotiation power, which could result in a higher labor cost index ahead. Meanwhile, the yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds dropped to near 3.61%.
New York Fed President John Williams clarified that the Fed has yet not reached a restrictive policy, which could be sufficient enough to tame solid inflation. Also, the central bank will be required to maintain a hawkish policy for a few years to make sure that the 2% inflation target will achieve confidently, as reported by Wall Street Journal.
Meanwhile, the Pound Sterling is likely to display a power-pack action after releasing the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) data, scheduled for Friday. As per the consensus, the preliminary annual GDP data is expected to expand by 0.4% lower than the former release of 1.9%. And, the quarterly data is expected to remain flat against a contraction of 0.3%.
Apart from the GDP figures, Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production will be of utmost importance.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2068 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.204 and is trading with a change of 0.23 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2068 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0028 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.2300 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2040 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2275, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2193 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1816 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.1951
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2275 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2193 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1816 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1951 |
The previous day high was 1.2096 while the previous day low was 1.1961. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2044, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2013, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1969, 1.1898, 1.1834
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2103, 1.2167, 1.2238
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2096 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1961 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2418 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.2050 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2448 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1841 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2044 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2013 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1969 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1898 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1834 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2103 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2167 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2238 |
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