#GBPUSD @ 1.24257 takes the bids to refresh intraday high, up for the fifth consecutive day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

0
271

#GBPUSD @ 1.24257 takes the bids to refresh intraday high, up for the fifth consecutive day. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

Follow Our Twitter

Join Our Telegram Group


This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]

  • GBP/USD takes the bids to refresh intraday high, up for the fifth consecutive day.
  • Expectations of UK stimulus bolster as British business push PM Sunak to act on growth reforms.
  • Hawkish Fed talks fail to underpin US Dollar rebound amid downbeat US data, expectations of soft landing.
  • First readings of January’s PMI, US Q4 GDP will be crucial for clear directions.

The pair currently trades last at 1.24257.

The previous day high was 1.2404 while the previous day low was 1.2335. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2378, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2362, expected to provide support.

GBP/USD news intraday top near 1.2435 as Cable buyers cheer the broadly down US Dollar and hopes of stimulus from UK Prime Minister (PM) Rishi Sunak during early Monday. In doing so, the Cable pair rises for the fifth consecutive day while poling the key resistance line stretched from early December 2022.

Britain is falling behind its peers in the race to spur economic growth and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak must act now to boost investment, fix a lack of workers and avoid chaos over post-Brexit rules, Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Director-General Tony Danker said on Monday per Reuters. The news praised Sunak’s efforts to diffuse budget fears emanating from the previous government but marked the need for action to match the growth prospects of the US and European Union. The news also adds that Finance minister Jeremy Hunt is expected to announce pro-growth measures in a budget statement in March. But Danker feared the government might temper its reforms as an election, expected in 2024, approaches.

It’s worth noting that the downbeat UK inflation and jobs report joined softer British Retail Sales to probe the hawkish concerns surrounding the Bank of England in the last week. However, the US statistics were also disappointing and joined the Fed policymakers’ inability to convince market hawks to expect higher rates, which in turn weighed on the US Dollar.

That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) drops 0.30% intraday to 101.65 by the press time amid cautious optimism and the absence of the two-week ‘blackout period’ before the Fed meeting.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller was the last from the US central bank speakers to cross the wires as he said, “He favors a 25 basis point rate hike at the upcoming meeting and continued policy tightening beyond that.” However, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) states that Federal Reserve officials are preparing to slow interest-rate increases for the second straight meeting and debate how much higher to raise them after gaining more confidence inflation will ease further this year.

Against this backdrop, the US Treasury bond yields remain depressed around the multi-day low while the stock futures print mild losses after the Wall Street benchmarks closed the week on a negative note.

Looking forward, the British economic calendar offers the first readings of January’s activity numbers and will be watched closely to gauge the need for more stimulus from Sunak. Also important will be the advanced readings of the US four-quarter (Q4) Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

As the RSI (14) is near the overbought territory, it does highlight a 1.5-month-old resistance line near 1.2435 as the key challenge for the GBP/USD bulls.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2427 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2395 and is trading with a change of 0.26% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.2427
1 Today Daily Change 0.0032
2 Today Daily Change % 0.26%
3 Today daily open 1.2395

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2143, 50 SMA 1.211, 100 SMA @ 1.1724 and 200 SMA @ 1.1978.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.2143
1 Daily SMA50 1.2110
2 Daily SMA100 1.1724
3 Daily SMA200 1.1978

The previous day high was 1.2404 while the previous day low was 1.2335. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2378, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2362, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.2352, 1.2309, 1.2283
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2421, 1.2447, 1.249
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2404
Previous Daily Low 1.2335
Previous Weekly High 1.2436
Previous Weekly Low 1.2169
Previous Monthly High 1.2447
Previous Monthly Low 1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2378
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2362
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2352
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2309
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2283
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2421
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2447
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2490

[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here