The US Dollar Index has dropped to near day’s low around 104.90. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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The US Dollar Index has dropped to near day’s low around 104.90. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • The US Dollar Index has dropped to near day’s low around 104.90.
  • Volatility in the US Dollar Index has contracted ahead of the US Inflation release.
  • The 200-EMA at 105.20 is acting as a major barricade for the USD Index.

The pair currently trades last at 104.89.

The previous day high was 105.25 while the previous day low was 104.66. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 105.03, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 104.89, expected to provide resistance.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is displaying wild moves as investors are dwindling ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Anxiety ahead of the release of the US inflation is restricting investors from making decisive moves in the early European session. The USD Index has sensed selling pressure while attempting to cross the critical resistance of 105.10.

The asset has dropped to near day’s low below 105.00. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have recovered after a marginal sell-off in the Tokyo session. It seems that the risk-appetite theme is regaining traction.

On an hourly scale, the USD Index is auctioning in a symmetrical triangle chart pattern that indicates volatility contraction. The upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern is plotted from December 9 low at 104.48 while the downward-sloping trendline is placed from December 8 high at 105.43.

The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 105.20 is acting as a major barricade for the asset. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a consolidation ahead.

Should the USD Index break below December 12 low at 104.66, bulls will drag the asset toward December 5 low at 104.12, followed by June 16 low at 103.42.

Alternatively, a decisive move above December 12 high at 105.20 will result in a symmetrical triangle breakout, which will send the USD Index toward December 8 high at 105.43. A break above the latter will drive the asset toward December 7 high at 105.77.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 104.89 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 105.01 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 104.89
1 Today Daily Change -0.12
2 Today Daily Change % -0.11
3 Today daily open 105.01

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 105.44, 50 SMA 107.77, 100 SMA @ 109.11 and 200 SMA @ 106.35.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 105.44
1 Daily SMA50 107.77
2 Daily SMA100 109.11
3 Daily SMA200 106.35

The previous day high was 105.25 while the previous day low was 104.66. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 105.03, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 104.89, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 104.69, 104.38, 104.1
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 105.29, 105.57, 105.88
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 105.25
Previous Daily Low 104.66
Previous Weekly High 105.82
Previous Weekly Low 104.11
Previous Monthly High 113.15
Previous Monthly Low 105.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 105.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 104.89
Daily Pivot Point S1 104.69
Daily Pivot Point S2 104.38
Daily Pivot Point S3 104.10
Daily Pivot Point R1 105.29
Daily Pivot Point R2 105.57
Daily Pivot Point R3 105.88

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