#AUDUSD @ 0.67826 regains some positive traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD weakness. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.67826 regains some positive traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD weakness. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD regains some positive traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD weakness.
  • A positive risk tone and softer US bond yields keep the USD bulls on the defensive.
  • Traders now look to the US CPI for a fresh impetus ahead of the key FOMC meeting.

The pair currently trades last at 0.67826.

The previous day high was 0.6803 while the previous day low was 0.6729. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6757, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6774, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair attracts fresh buying near the 0.6740-0.6735 region on Tuesday and reverses a major part of the previous day’s retracement slide. The pair maintains its bid tone heading into the North American session and is currently placed near the daily peak, around the 0.6780 area.

A combination of factors prompts some selling around the US Dollar, which, in turn, is seen offering support to the AUD/USD pair. Against the backdrop of the uncertainty over the Fed’s rate hike path, a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields keeps the USD bulls on the defensive. Moreover, the easing of COVID-19 curbs in China remains supportive of a generally positive risk tone, which further undermines the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.

That said, growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn should keep a lid on the risk-on rally in the markets. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive directional bets ahead of the crucial US consumer inflation figures, due for release a while from now. The data will influence the USD price dynamics ahead of the highly-anticipated FOMC policy decision on Wednesday. This, in turn, will determine the next leg of a directional move for the AUD/USD pair.

Heading into the key data/event risks, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bulls and before positioning for any further intraday appreciating move for the AUD/USD pair. Hence, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront stiff resistance near the 0.6800 mark. That said, some follow-through buying has the potential to lift spot prices back towards the monthly swing high, around the 0.6850 region touched last week.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6779 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6751 and is trading with a change of 0.41 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6779
1 Today Daily Change 0.0028
2 Today Daily Change % 0.4100
3 Today daily open 0.6751

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6727, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6531 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6678 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6907

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6727
1 Daily SMA50 0.6531
2 Daily SMA100 0.6678
3 Daily SMA200 0.6907

The previous day high was 0.6803 while the previous day low was 0.6729. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6757, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6774, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6719, 0.6687, 0.6645
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6793, 0.6835, 0.6867
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6803
Previous Daily Low 0.6729
Previous Weekly High 0.6851
Previous Weekly Low 0.6669
Previous Monthly High 0.6801
Previous Monthly Low 0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6757
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6774
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6719
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6687
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6645
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6793
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6835
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6867

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