The EURUSD pair rises slightly on Friday and is supported by the lackluster performance of the US dollar.

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The EURUSD pair rises slightly on Friday and is supported by the lackluster performance of the US dollar.

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  • EUR/USD edges higher on Friday and draws support from subdued USD price action.
  • The fundamental backdrop warrants caution before placing aggressive directional bets.
  • Traders also seem reluctant ahead of the crucial FOMC/ECB policy meetings next week.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.11394.

    The previous day high was 1.1229 while the previous day low was 1.1118. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1161, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1187, expected to provide resistance.

    The EUR/USD pair ticks higher during the Asian session on Friday, albeit lacks bullish conviction and currently trades around the 1.1135-1.1140 region, just a few pips above over a one-week low touched the previous day.

    The US Dollar (USD) is seen consolidating the overngith strong gains led by the upbeat US Jobless Claims data and turning out to be a key factor acting as a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. It is worth recalling that the number of Americans filing for unemployment insurance for the first time fell by 9K, to 228K during the week ended July 15, marking the lowest reading since mid-May. The data pointed to a still tighth labour market and reaffirmed market bets for a 25 bps rate-hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in July.

    Adding to this, doubts that the Fed will commit to a more dovish policy stance act as a tailwind for the USD. The shared currency, on the other hand, is undermined by the fact that European Central Bank (ECB) officials recently delivered mixed signals regarding the next policy moves after the July meeting. Even a more hawkish ECB policymaker, Klaas Knot said that rate hikes later this year may not be necessary. Investors, however, seem convinced that the ECB will increase borrowing costs in July and September.

    This, in turn, warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets around the EUR/USD pair and positioning for an extension of the recent retracement from the 1.1275 region, or the highest level since February 2022 touched earlier this month. Market participants might also prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of next week’s key central bank event risks – the highly-anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the crucial ECB policy meeting on Thursday.

    Nevertheless, the EUR/USD pair remains on track to register weekly losses and remains at the mercy of the USD price dynamics in the absence of any relevant market moving economic relesaes, either from the Euro Zone or the US.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.1136 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.113 and is trading with a change of 0.05 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.1136
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0006
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0500
    3 Today daily open 1.1130

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.1017, 50 SMA 1.0888, 100 SMA @ 1.0878 and 200 SMA @ 1.0682.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.1017
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0888
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0878
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0682

    The previous day high was 1.1229 while the previous day low was 1.1118. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1161, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1187, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.1089, 1.1048, 1.0978
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.12, 1.127, 1.131
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.1229
    Previous Daily Low 1.1118
    Previous Weekly High 1.1245
    Previous Weekly Low 1.0944
    Previous Monthly High 1.1012
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0662
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1161
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1187
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1089
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1048
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0978
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1200
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1270
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1310

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