#USDJPY @ 139.642 reverses an intraday dip and draws support from the emergence of USD dip-buying. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY reverses an intraday dip and draws support from the emergence of USD dip-buying.
- A goodish intraday pickup in the US Treasury bond yields helps revive demand for the buck.
- Intervention fears, a softer risk tone could underpin the JPY and cap the upside for the major.
The pair currently trades last at 139.642.
The previous day high was 140.45 while the previous day low was 139.25. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.71, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.99, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buying in the vicinity of the 139.00 mark on Tuesday and stalls the overnight retracement slide from a multi-day peak. Spot prices build on the steady intraday ascent through the early North American session and climb to a fresh daily high, back closer to the 140.00 psychological mark in the last hour.
As investors look past Monday’s disappointing release of the US ISM Services PMI, the US Dollar (USD) regains positive traction and turns out to be a key factor acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. The intraday USD uptick could be attributed to an intraday uptick in the US Treasury bond yields, though is likely to remain limited in the wake of rising bets for an imminent pause in the Federal Resreve’s policy tightening cycle.
In fact, the markets are pricing in a greater chance that the US central bank will leave interest rates unchanged at the end of a two-day policy meeting on June 14. This might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Apart from this, the prospect of Japanese authorities intervening in the markets might further contribute to keeping a lid on any meaningful appreciating move for the USD/JPY pair, at least for the time being.
Furthermore, the prevalent cautious mood – as depicted by a softer tone around the equity markets – could benefit the JPY’s relative safe-haven status. That said, a more dovish stance adopted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might continue to undermine the JPY and limit the downside for the USD/JPY pair. In the absence of any relevant macro data from the US, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants caution for aggressive traders.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 139.65 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 139.58 and is trading with a change of 0.05 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 139.65 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.07 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.05 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 139.58 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 138.09, 50 SMA 135.48, 100 SMA @ 134.07 and 200 SMA @ 137.3.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 138.09 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 135.48 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 134.07 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 137.30 |
The previous day high was 140.45 while the previous day low was 139.25. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 139.71, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.99, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 139.07, 138.56, 137.87
- Pivot resistance is noted at 140.27, 140.96, 141.48
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 140.45 |
| Previous Daily Low | 139.25 |
| Previous Weekly High | 140.93 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 138.43 |
| Previous Monthly High | 140.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 133.50 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 139.71 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 139.99 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 139.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 138.56 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 137.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 140.27 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 140.96 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 141.48 |
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