#EURUSD @ 1.07136 fades the week-start rebound amid sluggish oscillators., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD fades the week-start rebound amid sluggish oscillators.
- Failure to cross the key upside hurdles during previous week’s recovery lures Euro sellers.
- One-week-old ascending support line, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement limit short-term downside.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07136.
The previous day high was 1.0779 while the previous day low was 1.0705. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0733, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0751, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/USD retreats towards 1.0700 amid the early hours of Tuesday’s Asian session after a volatile day. That said, the Euro pair initially cheered the downbeat US data before paring the gains and closing the day around the week-start levels.
That said, the major currency pair’s latest pullback could be linked to the sluggish RSI (14) line surrounding the 50.0 levels suggesting the continuation of a lower grind. On the same line could be the MACD signals which are bearish but losing the momentum strength of late.
As a result, the EUR/USD pair’s slow grind toward the south can’t be ruled out, which in turn highlights a one-week-old rising support line, close to 1.0675 at the latest, as immediate support to watch for the Euro sellers.
Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-April rise, near 1.0635, will gain the EUR/USD bear’s attention.
Although the likely oversold RSI around 1.0635 will prod the Euro sellers around then, any further downside could make the pair traders vulnerable to refreshing the yearly low of around 1.0480.
Alternatively, a fortnight-long descending resistance line precedes the 100-SMA level, respectively near 1.0760 and 1.0770, limiting the short-term downside of the EUR/USD pair.
In a case where the Euro buyers remain in the driver’s seat past 1.0770, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s aforementioned upside, near 1.0805, will be in the spotlight.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0711 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0708 and is trading with a change of 0.03% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0711 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0003 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.03% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0708 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0813, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0897 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0813 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0502
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0813 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0897 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0813 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0502 |
The previous day high was 1.0779 while the previous day low was 1.0705. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0733, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0751, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0682, 1.0657, 1.0609
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0756, 1.0804, 1.083
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0779 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0705 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0779 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0635 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1092 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0635 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0733 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0751 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0682 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0657 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0609 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0756 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0804 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0830 |
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