#AUDUSD @ 0.67144 has scaled firmly above 0.6710 amid the release of upbeat Australian labor market data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.67144 has scaled firmly above 0.6710 amid the release of upbeat Australian labor market data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD has scaled firmly above 0.6710 amid the release of upbeat Australian labor market data.
  • Better-than-anticipated Australian Employment data would force the RBA to reconsider its steady policy stance.
  • The USD Index is not showing any sign of recovery after dropping to near weekly lows around 101.44.

The pair currently trades last at 0.67144.

The previous day high was 0.6723 while the previous day low was 0.6649. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6695, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6677, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair has climbed above the round-level resistance of 0.6700 as the Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported upbeat Employment data. The Australian economy added 53K fresh jobs in March, higher than the consensus of 20K but lower than the former release of 64.6K. Also, the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.5% but lower than the estimates of 3.6%>

This is going to force the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to reconsider its steady policy stance. Investors should be aware of the fact that RBA Governor Philip Lowe kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6% in its April monetary policy meeting.

Volatility in the Australian Dollar will stay further amid the release of China’s Trade Balance data. The street is expecting a deep contraction in Chinese exports and imports figures ahead. Also, the Trade Balance data (USD) is expected to plunge to $39.2B vs. the former release of $116.8B. It is worth noting that Australia is the leading trading partner of China and weak Chinese international trade would weigh on the Australian dollar.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have carry-forwarded downside journey as shown on Wednesday after the reading from Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes cemented fears of mild recession later this year. Apart from that, quarterly result season has also cautioned investors and a stock-specific approach has hogged the limelight.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is not showing any sign of recovery after dropping to near-weekly lows around 101.44. Fed chair Jerome Powell is expected to pause its quantitative tightening process sooner as United States inflation has already softened significantly. For further guidance, US Retail sales data will be keenly watched.

Monthly Retail Sales data would contract by 0.4%, at a similar pace to the prior contraction. This might bolster the need to pause rates from the Fed.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6687 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.669 and is trading with a change of -0.04 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6687
1 Today Daily Change -0.0003
2 Today Daily Change % -0.0400
3 Today daily open 0.6690

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6689, 50 SMA 0.6758, 100 SMA @ 0.68 and 200 SMA @ 0.6745.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6689
1 Daily SMA50 0.6758
2 Daily SMA100 0.6800
3 Daily SMA200 0.6745

The previous day high was 0.6723 while the previous day low was 0.6649. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6695, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6677, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6652, 0.6613, 0.6577
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6726, 0.6762, 0.6801
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6723
Previous Daily Low 0.6649
Previous Weekly High 0.6793
Previous Weekly Low 0.6641
Previous Monthly High 0.6784
Previous Monthly Low 0.6564
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6695
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6677
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6652
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6613
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6577
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6726
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6762
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6801

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