#EURJPY @ 141.910 is looking to extend its rally above 142.00 on ECB’s hawkish interest rate guidance. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/JPY is looking to extend its rally above 142.00 on ECB’s hawkish interest rate guidance.
- ECB Lagarde confirmed that wage pressures are keeping Eurozone CPI at elevated levels.
- ECB policymakers agreed to go ahead with a 50 bps hike after the SNB “threw a lifeline” to Credit Suisse.
The pair currently trades last at 141.910.
The previous day high was 144.96 while the previous day low was 139.48. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.58, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 142.87, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/JPY pair has sensed barricades while extending its rally above the immediate resistance of 142.00 in the early Asian session. The cross is expected to continue its upside momentum as the European Central Bank (ECB) would continue to hike its interest rates further as the Eurozone inflation looks persistent and would take plenty of time in declining to near the targeted level.
ECB President Christine Lagarde confirmed that wage pressures are keeping Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) at elevated levels while responding to questions from the press after the monetary policy announcement.
The street was mixed for the ECB’s interest rate decision as the debacle of Credit Suisse, the second-largest Swiss banking firm, alarmed fears of banking turmoil. There is no denying the fact that the announcement of the interest rate decision by the central banks is executed by commercial banks and instability in the latter could create troubles in managing the monetary policy.
Reuters reported on Thursday that European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers agreed to go ahead with a 50 basis points increase in key rates after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) “threw a lifeline” to Credit Suisse. Also, ECB’s policy debate was between a 50 basis points hike or leaving rates unchanged. There was no discussion of a 25 bps hike.
For further guidance, analysts at Rabobank see two more hikes of 25bp. Persistent unrest in financial markets is the main downside risk, but if this fades, inflation persistence could still require higher rates.”
On the Japanese Yen front, Bank of Japan (BoJ) policymakers and Japanese officials are pulling their socks to provide a cushion to inflation to remain steady above the 2% target. Japan’s PM Fumio Kishida said this week that they are aiming to raise minimum wages beyond JPY¥1,000 nationwide. Superlative wage gains are going to add effectively to the upside filters for the inflationary pressures as households will be equipped with more funds for disposal.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURJPY currently trading at 141.66 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 141.1 and is trading with a change of 0.4 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 141.66 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.56 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.40 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 141.10 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 143.83, 50 SMA 142.13, 100 SMA @ 142.96 and 200 SMA @ 141.81.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 143.83 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 142.13 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 142.96 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 141.81 |
The previous day high was 144.96 while the previous day low was 139.48. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 141.58, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 142.87, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 138.74, 136.37, 133.25
- Pivot resistance is noted at 144.22, 147.33, 149.7
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 144.96 |
| Previous Daily Low | 139.48 |
| Previous Weekly High | 145.44 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 143.35 |
| Previous Monthly High | 145.47 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 139.55 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 141.58 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 142.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 138.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 136.37 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 133.25 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 144.22 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 147.33 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 149.70 |
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