#GBPJPY @ 163.322 Wages in the United Kingdom edged lower, a release for the Bank of England, as it scrambled to bring down inflation. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Wages in the United Kingdom edged lower, a release for the Bank of England, as it scrambled to bring down inflation.
- The Japanese economic docket will feature the Bank of Japan’s latest monetary policy minutes.
- GBP/JPY Price Analysis: To remain upward biased, above 162.00.
The pair currently trades last at 163.322.
The previous day high was 163.08 while the previous day low was 160.05. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 161.21, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 161.92, expected to provide support.
GBP/JPY consolidates around the 163.00 figure after seesawing within a 380 pip range on a risk-off impulse spurred by the United States (US) banking system crisis. However, investors’ worries have eased, as shown by Wall Street finishing with gains. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is exchanging hands at 163.30.
Investors sentiment remains upbeat. An employment report in the United Kingdom (UK) revealed by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the labor market is easing. The UK economy added 65K people to the workforce, above the 52K expected by analysts, but trailed the prior’s month data of 74K. Delving into the data, the Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.7% but missed forecasts of 3.8%, while wages fell from 6% to 5.7%, easing the Bank of England (BoE) pressure.
After the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), global investors slashed bets that most central banks would continue their tightening cycle. Though inflation remains an issue for most central banks, and the BoE is expected to raise rates by 25 bps at the upcoming monetary policy meeting.
On the Japan front, the lack of economic data in the docket left traders focused on the release of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policy minutes over the January meeting. On the UK side, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, is expected to reveal its spring budget.
According to Reuters, “British Finance Minister (Chancellor) Jeremy Hunt will announce on Wednesday how he will try to speed up the world’s sixth-biggest economy after the shocks of Brexit, a heavy COVID-19 hit and double-digit inflation have left it lagging behind its peers.”
The GBP/JPY trades sideways, influenced by the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs’ confluence around the 161.89-162.40 mark. Nevertheless, if the exchange rate stays above the latter, the GBP/JPY pair would remain upward biased. A bullish continuation is expected and will face solid resistance at 164.07, March’s 14 daily high, followed by the 165.00 figure, and the February 28 high at 166.00. On an alternate scenario, the GBP/JPY first support would be the 20-day EMA at 162.40, followed by the 100-day EMA at 162.24, ahead of testing the 200-day EMA at 161.97.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPJPY currently trading at 163.31 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 162.32 and is trading with a change of 0.61 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 163.31 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.99 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.61 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 162.32 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 162.57, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 160.66 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 163.23 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 163.42
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 162.57 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 160.66 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 163.23 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 163.42 |
The previous day high was 163.08 while the previous day low was 160.05. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 161.21, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 161.92, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 160.55, 158.78, 157.52
- Pivot resistance is noted at 163.59, 164.85, 166.62
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 163.08 |
| Previous Daily Low | 160.05 |
| Previous Weekly High | 164.26 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 161.62 |
| Previous Monthly High | 166.01 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 156.73 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 161.21 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 161.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 160.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 158.78 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 157.52 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 163.59 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 164.85 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 166.62 |
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