#AUDUSD @ 0.67134 has failed to capitalize on the hawkish RBA policy. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD has failed to capitalize on the hawkish RBA policy.
- The RBA continued the 25 bps rate hike spree and pushed the OCR to 3.60%.
- Australia’s monthly CPI indicator suggests that inflation has peaked.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67134.
The previous day high was 0.677 while the previous day low was 0.6716. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6737, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6749, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair is displaying a sideways auction in the early European session after a Reserve bank of Australia (RBA)’s monetary policy-inspired volatility. The Aussie asset looks vulnerable above the 0.6700 support despite the upbeat market mood.
In the interest rate decision, RBA Governor Philip Lowe pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) consecutively for the fifth time to 3.60% to sharpen monetary tools in the battle against persistent Australian inflation. RBA’s Lowe cited “The monthly CPI indicator suggests that inflation has peaked in Australia,” as reported by Reuters.
Further downside in the US Dollar Index (DXY) looks likely amid the absence of recovery signs after printing a fresh day low near 104.16. S&P500 futures have reported more gains, indicating that investors have underpinned the risk-appetite theme.
AUD/USD is showing a tad longer consolidation in the range of 0.6700-0.6784 on an hourly scale. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6737 is acting as a major barricade for the Australian Dollar.
A slippage by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) in the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 is indicating a downside momentum ahead.
A downside move below March 01 low around 0.6700 will drag the Aussie toward December 07 low at 0.6669 and December 20 low at 0.6629.
In an alternate scenario, a confident break above March 01 high at 0.6784 will send the asset toward the round-level resistance at 0.6800 followed by February 06 low at 0.6855.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6712 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6727 and is trading with a change of -0.22 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6712 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0015 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.2200 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6727 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6846, 50 SMA 0.6899, 100 SMA @ 0.6754 and 200 SMA @ 0.679.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6846 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6899 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6754 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6790 |
The previous day high was 0.677 while the previous day low was 0.6716. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6737, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6749, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6706, 0.6684, 0.6653
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6759, 0.6791, 0.6812
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6770 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6716 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6784 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6695 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.7158 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6698 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6737 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6749 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6706 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6684 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6653 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6759 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6791 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6812 |
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