#XAUUSD @ 1,858.45 Gold price extended its losses in the session, down by 0.22%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• Gold price extended its losses in the session, down by 0.22%.
• The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment improved, while inflation expectations jumped for 2023.
• Gold Price Forecast: Daily close below the 50-EMA could expose Gold to further selling pressure.

The pair currently trades last at 1858.45.

The previous day high was 1890.27 while the previous day low was 1858.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1870.9, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1878.3, expected to provide resistance.

Gold price remains firm at around $1860 after hitting a week-to-date new low of $1852.45 on Friday due to speculations that the US Federal Reserve would raise rates by 25 bps in the next couple of meetings, as money market futures showed. A bid in the US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields reaching fresh 5-week highs capped Gold’s advancement. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $1858.68, above its opening price by 0.20%.

Wall Street continues to trade mixed, with the Nasdaq 100 being the outlier, losing more than 0.50%. A poll by the University of Michigan (UoM) reported that American Consumer Sentiment exceeded estimates of 65 and rose by 66.4, showing an improvement in financial conditions. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for a one-year horizon increased by 4.2% from 3.9% reported on January’s final reading, while for a 5-year horizon, it stood unchanged at 2.9%. XAU/USD’s reacted on the data, reaching as high as $1866.80, though retraced towards current prices.

Elsewhere a slew of Federal Reserve (Fed) officials during the week stated that more rate hikes are coming as the US central bank battles to curb inflation. New York Fed President John Williams commented on moving the Federal Funds rate (FFR) to 5%-5.25%. At the same time, Minnesota’s Fed President Neil Kashkari, a voter in the FOMC in 2023, said that the FFR needs to go as high as 5.4%.

Echoing some of their comments was Lisa D. Cook, who said that it’s appropriate to move in “smaller steps” while the Fed assesses the effects of cumulative tightening. Later the Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said that the Fed is “unequivocally” hitting the brakes on the economy.

In the meantime, US Treasury bond yields continued to underpin the US Dollar (USD). The 10-year benchmark note rate is up six bps, at around weekly highs of 3.728%, a headwind for XAU’s prices. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s value vs. a basket of peers, advances 0.37% daily, up at 103.57.

XAU/USD’s daily chart portrays the yellow metal as neutral-to-downward biased, though the consolidation around $1860 and a subsequent break could pave the way for further losses. However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1856.50 could cap Gold’s fall. Next support lies at the December 27 high-turned-support at $1833.29, followed by the 100-day EMA at $1816.91.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1858.21 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1860.8 and is trading with a change of -0.14 % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1911.89, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1854.29 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1774.36 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1775.91

The previous day high was 1890.27 while the previous day low was 1858.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1870.9, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1878.3, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1849.73, 1838.66, 1818.39
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1881.07, 1901.34, 1912.41

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