#AUDUSD @ 0.69277 comes under some selling pressure on Friday amid some follow-through USD buying. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD comes under some selling pressure on Friday amid some follow-through USD buying.
- Hawkish Fed expectations push the US bond yields higher and continue to underpin the buck.
- Looming recession risks also benefit the safe-haven USD and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.
The pair currently trades last at 0.69277.
The previous day high was 0.7011 while the previous day low was 0.6921. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6977, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6956, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair fades an intraday uptick to the 0.6960 area and retreats to the lower end of its daily range heading into the North American session. The pair is currently placed around the 0.6925-036920 region and remains at the mercy of the US Dollar price dynamics.
A combination of supporting factors assists the US Dollar to stand tall near a one-month high, which, in turn, is seen exerting some downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Against the backdrop of hawkish signals from Fed officials, a fresh wave of the global risk-aversion trade provides a goodish lift to the safe-haven buck.
In fact, several FOMC policymakers, including Chair Jerome Powell, earlier this week stressed the need for additional interest rate hikes to fully gain control of inflation. The prospects for additional policy tightening by the Fed push the US Treasury bond yields higher, which, in turn, continues to act as a tailwind for the USD.
Investors, meanwhile, remain worried about economic headwinds stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs. Adding to this, the deeply inverted US Treasury yield curve point to growing concerns about looming recession risks. This is seen as another factor that contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive Aussie.
The downside for the AUD/USD pair, however, remains cushioned in the wake of a more hawkish outlook by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The minutes of the latest RBA policy meeting signalled further rate increases will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders.
Next on tap is the release of the Preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This, along with a scheduled speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller, might influence the USD demand and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Traders will further take cues from the broader risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6927 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6932 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6927 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0005 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6932 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.7004, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6867 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.668 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6807
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.7004 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6867 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6680 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6807 |
The previous day high was 0.7011 while the previous day low was 0.6921. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6977, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6956, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6899, 0.6865, 0.6809
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6989, 0.7045, 0.7079
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.7011 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6921 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.7158 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6919 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.7143 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6688 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6977 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6956 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6899 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6865 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6809 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6989 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.7045 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.7079 |
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