#NZDUSD @ 0.63371 attracts some dip-buying near 0.6300 on Friday amid a modest USD pullback. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD attracts some dip-buying near 0.6300 on Friday amid a modest USD pullback.
- A modest recovery in the equity markets further offers support to the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
- Hawkish Fed expectations, recession risks could limit the USD losses and cap the major.
The pair currently trades last at 0.63371.
The previous day high was 0.6391 while the previous day low was 0.6303. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6357, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6337, expected to provide support.
The NZD/USD pair reverses an intraday dip to the 0.6300 neighbourhood and climbs to a fresh daily high during the early European session on Friday. The pair is currently placed around the 0.6340 region, up over 0.30% for the day, though remains well below the weekly top touched the previous day.
The US Dollar struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains and retreats from a one-month high, which, in turn, assists the NZD/USD pair to attract some dip-buying on the last day of the week. The USD pullback could be attributed to a sudden pickup in demand for the Japanese Yen, led by reports that the Japanese government plans to appoint Kazuo Ueda as the next Bank of Japan governor. Apart from this, a modest bounce in the US equity futures further undermines the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive Kiwi.
That said, looming recession risks could keep a lid on any optimism in the markets. The market concerns about a deeper global economic downturn are reinforced by the deeply inverted US Treasury yield curve. Apart from this, the prospects for further policy tightening by the Fed should help limit losses for the Greenback and cap gains for the NZD/USD pair, at least for the time being. It is worth mentioning that several FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, stressed the need for additional rate hikes to tame inflation.
The aforementioned fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before confirming that the NZD/USD pair’s recent slide from its highest level since June 2022 has run its course. Traders now look to the Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index from the US, due later during the early North American session. This, along with Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s speech, might influence the USD. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment could further contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the major.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6334 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6322 and is trading with a change of 0.19 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6334 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0012 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.1900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6322 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6422, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6374 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6124 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6188
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6422 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6374 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6124 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6188 |
The previous day high was 0.6391 while the previous day low was 0.6303. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6357, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6337, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6286, 0.6251, 0.6198
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6374, 0.6427, 0.6462
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6391 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6303 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6538 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6322 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6531 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6190 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6357 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6337 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6286 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6251 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6198 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6374 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6427 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6462 |
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