#USDJPY @ 130.134 meets with a fresh supply on Friday and is weighed down by reviving demand for the JPY. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDJPY @ 130.134 meets with a fresh supply on Friday and is weighed down by reviving demand for the JPY. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/JPY meets with a fresh supply on Friday and is weighed down by reviving demand for the JPY.
  • A combination of factors boosts the safe-haven JPY and exerts some downward pressure on the pair.
  • A modest USD strength lends some support and helps limit the downside, at least for the time being.

The pair currently trades last at 130.134.

The previous day high was 131.83 while the previous day low was 130.34. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 131.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 130.91, expected to provide resistance.

The USD/JPY pair struggles to capitalize on its modest gains recorded over the past two trading sessions and attracts fresh sellers following an early uptick to the 132.00 area on Friday. The intraday slide picks up pace during the early European session and drags spot prices to a fresh daily low, around the 130.60-130.55 region in the last hour.

Reports indicate that the Japanese government plans to appoint Kazuo Ueda as the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) next governor after Haruhiko Kuroda steps down. The report fuels speculations that high inflation may invite a more hawkish stance from the BoJ later this year. This, in turn, boosts the Japanese Yen and turns out to be a key factor behind the USD/JPY pair’s latest leg down witnessed over the past hour or so.

Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off environment – as depicted by a generally weaker tone around the equity markets – also benefits the safe-haven JPY and exerts additional pressure on the USD/JPY pair. That said, a modest US Dollar strength, bolstered by the recent hawkish commentary by several FOMC members, lends some support to the major and helps limit the downside for the major, warranting caution for bears.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through selling below the weekly swing low, around the 130.35 area touched on Thursday, before positioning for any further depreciating move. Traders now look to the release of the Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index from the US. This, along with Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s speech and the broader risk sentiment, could provide a fresh impetus to the USD/JPY pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 130.89 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 131.62 and is trading with a change of -0.55 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 130.89
1 Today Daily Change -0.73
2 Today Daily Change % -0.55
3 Today daily open 131.62

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 129.91, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 132.33 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 138.32 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 136.82

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 129.91
1 Daily SMA50 132.33
2 Daily SMA100 138.32
3 Daily SMA200 136.82

The previous day high was 131.83 while the previous day low was 130.34. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 131.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 130.91, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 130.7, 129.78, 129.21
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 132.18, 132.75, 133.67
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 131.83
Previous Daily Low 130.34
Previous Weekly High 131.20
Previous Weekly Low 128.08
Previous Monthly High 134.78
Previous Monthly Low 127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 131.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 130.91
Daily Pivot Point S1 130.70
Daily Pivot Point S2 129.78
Daily Pivot Point S3 129.21
Daily Pivot Point R1 132.18
Daily Pivot Point R2 132.75
Daily Pivot Point R3 133.67

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