#EURUSD @ 1.07293 remains pressured after reversing from one-week high., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD remains pressured after reversing from one-week high.
- Three-day-old ascending trend line probes bears ahead of the key monthly support line.
- Gravestone Doji bearish candlestick, failure to cross 200-SMA keeps Euro bears hopeful.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07293.
The previous day high was 1.0791 while the previous day low was 1.071. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.076, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0741, expected to provide resistance.
EUR/USD bears rush towards retaking control as the Euro pair stays depressed around 1.0730 during Friday’s Asian session, following a U-turn from the weekly top.
That said, the major currency pair reversed from the one-week high the previous day as the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) challenged buyers.
Not only the failures to cross the 200-SMA, around 1.0770 by the press time, but the bearish candlestick at the latest swing high, namely the “Gravestone Doji”, also teases the EUR/USD bears.
However, an upward-sloping support line from Tuesday probes EUR/USD bears near 1.0730 ahead of the one-month-old ascending trend line support, close to 1.0690 at the latest.
It should be noted that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s January-February upside adds strength to the 1.0690 support.
In a case where the EUR/USD remains weak past 1.0690, the odds of witnessing a southward trajectory towards the monthly low of 1.0670 and then to January’s bottom surrounding 1.0485 can’t be ruled.
On the flip side, the pair’s successful trading beyond the 200-SMA level of 1.0770 isn’t an open welcome to the EUR/USD bulls as the weekly top of 1.0790 and the 1.0800 could challenge the further upside.
Should the EUR/USD price rally beyond 1.0800, the previous Friday’s swing high near 1.0940 will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
Trend: Further downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0735 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0734 and is trading with a change of 0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0735 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0001 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0734 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0833, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0703 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0353 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0323
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0833 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0703 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0353 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0323 |
The previous day high was 1.0791 while the previous day low was 1.071. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.076, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0741, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0699, 1.0664, 1.0618
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.078, 1.0826, 1.0861
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0791 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0710 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1033 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0793 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0930 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0483 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0760 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0741 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0699 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0664 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0618 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0780 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0826 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0861 |
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