#USDCAD @ 1.32811 licks its wounds after refreshing 11-week low., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CAD licks its wounds after refreshing 11-week low.
- Bearish MACD signals, sustained trading below 21-DMA keeps sellers hopeful.
- 200-DMA, 1.3210 level act as the last defenses for the buyers.
The pair currently trades last at 1.32811.
The previous day high was 1.3472 while the previous day low was 1.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3365, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3406, expected to provide resistance.
USD/CAD jostles with a key support line after refreshing the multi-month low on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish hike, making rounds to 1.3290 during early Thursday morning in Asia. In doing so, the Loonie pair portrays sustained trading below the 21-DMA while also justifying the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI, not oversold.
It’s worth noting that an ascending trend line from June 2022, close to 1.3290 at the latest, challenges the pair sellers of late.
The major attention, however, should be given to the horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-July 2022 and the 200-DMA, between 1.3225 and 1.3210.
In a case where the USD/CAD pair stays weak below 1.3210, the 1.3200 round figure may act as an extra filter towards the south before directing prices towards the 1.3000 psychological magnet. It should be observed that June 2022 peak surrounding 1.3080 may offer an intermediate halt during the slump past 1.3200.
Meanwhile, USD/CAD recovery remains elusive until the quote remains below the 21-DMA hurdle of 1.3390.
Following that, the late January swing high near 1.3520 and the previous monthly top surrounding 1.3685 will be in focus.
Though, the USD/CAD bull-run needs validation from the December 2022 peak of 1.3705.
Overall, USD/CAD remains on the bear’s radar but the downside room appears limited.
Trend: Limited downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCAD currently trading at 1.3293 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3305 and is trading with a change of -0.09% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.3293 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0012 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.09% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.3305 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.3406, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.35 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.353 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.3214
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.3406 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.3500 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.3530 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.3214 |
The previous day high was 1.3472 while the previous day low was 1.33. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3365, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3406, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.3246, 1.3187, 1.3074
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3418, 1.3531, 1.359
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.3472 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.3300 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.3428 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.3300 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.3685 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.3300 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.3365 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.3406 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.3246 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.3187 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.3074 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.3418 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.3531 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.3590 |
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