#AUDUSD @ 0.67005 regains positive traction on Tuesday amid the emergence of fresh USD selling. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday amid the emergence of fresh USD selling.
- Bets for less aggressive Fed rate hikes, a recovery in the risk sentiment weighs on the buck.
- China’s COVID-19 woes should cap optimistic moves and act as a headwind for the Aussie.
The pair currently trades last at 0.67005.
The previous day high was 0.6752 while the previous day low was 0.6642. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6684, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.671, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair attracts some dip-buying near the 0.6640 region on Tuesday and maintains its bid tone through the early European session. The intraday positive move lifts spot prices back above the 0.6700 mark and is supported by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling.
A combination of factors fails to assist the greenback to capitalize on the overnight goodish rebound from the very important 200-day SMA and offers some support to the AUD/USD pair. A dovish assessment of the November FOMC meeting minutes released last week cemented market bets for a relatively smaller 50 bps rate hike in December. This, along with a slight recovery in the global risk sentiment, undermines the safe-haven USD and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.
That said, the worsening COVID-19 situation in China, should keep a lid on any optimistic move in the markets and act as a headwind for the China-proxy Australian Dollar. In fact, China reported another record-high number of COVID-19 infections on Monday and the imposition of new restrictions prompted a wave of protests in several cities. This adds to worries about a further slowdown in economic activity and might continue to weigh on the market sentiment.
Furthermore, the overnight hawkish comments by influential FOMC members should help limit the downside for the buck and further contribute to capping the upside for the AUD/USD pair. It is worth recalling that St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard reiterated that more rate hikes are coming. This, in turn, warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders and positioning for further gains.
Nevertheless, the AUD/USD pair, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak and remains at the mercy of the USD price dynamics. Market participants now look to the release of the Conference Board’s US Consumer Confidence Index for some impetus later during the early North American session. The focus, however, will remain on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday and this week’s important US economic data, including the NFP report on Friday.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6706 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6645 and is trading with a change of 0.92 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6706 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0061 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.9200 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6645 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6597, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6487 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6688 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6933
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6597 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6487 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6688 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6933 |
The previous day high was 0.6752 while the previous day low was 0.6642. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6684, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.671, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6608, 0.657, 0.6498
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6717, 0.6789, 0.6827
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6752 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6642 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6781 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6585 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6684 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6710 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6608 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6570 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6498 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6717 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6789 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6827 |
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