The EURUSD pair at 1.06602 quickly changed direction after being pushed down by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement on Wednesday.

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The EURUSD pair at 1.06602 quickly changed direction after being pushed down by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement on Wednesday.

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  • The EUR/USD has rapidly reversed Wednesday’s direction after getting knocked lower by Fed rate call.
  • Fed keeps rates at 5.5%, but sees at least one more rate hike by the end of 2023.
  • Markets have piled into the USD after the Fed updated its forward-looking rate expectations.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.06602.

    The previous day high was 1.0718 while the previous day low was 1.0675. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0691, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0702, expected to provide resistance.

    The EUR/USD is sharply off the day’s highs of 1.0735, trading into the low end and chalking in a new low for Wednesday near 1.0650.

    The Federal Reserve (Fed) updated their Summary of Projections (SEP), which shows Fed officials expecting the interest rate to hit 5.1% by the end of 2024 (previously 4.6%). Despite the Fed holding steady on rates at 5.5% for the time being, the uptick in the rate of interest rate cuts has sent the US Dollar broadly up across the board.

    Read more:

    Fed delivers a hawkish pause, promises higher for longer rates

    Jerome Powell speaks on monetary policy after deciding to hold interest rate steady

    Fed dot plot points to one more 25 bps hike in 2023 and 50 bps cut in 2024

    Up next on the economic calendar, US Initial Jobless Claims are slated for Thursday at 12:30 GMT, and the figure is expected to print slightly higher at 225K versus the previous 220K.

    Forex Today: US Dollar strengthens after Fed’s hawkish pause

    Friday sees Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures for both the European Union (EU) and the US. EU Composite PMI is forecast to dip slightly to 46.5 from 46.7, while the US side is anticipating a minor improvement. The US Manufacturing PMI is expected to tick up from 47.9 to an even 48.0, while the Services component is anticipated at 50.6 versus the previous 50.5.

    Wednesday’s Fed-sponsored decline in the Euro-Dollar pairing sees the EUR/USD giving up most of the gains for the week, trading into the 1.0660 level after getting knocked back.

    Price declines in the pair are starting to accelerate from a descending trendline on the daily candlesticks, marked in from July’s swing high near 1.250.

    The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) also rests above current price action, turning flat near 1.0830.

    Continued selling pressure from here will see the EUR/USD set to close in the red for a tenth straight week and set to challenge the year’s lows currently marked in near 1.0500.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.066 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.068 and is trading with a change of -0.19 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.066
    1 Today Daily Change -0.002
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.190
    3 Today daily open 1.068

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.0763, 50 SMA 1.0918, 100 SMA @ 1.0889 and 200 SMA @ 1.0829.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.0763
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0918
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0889
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0829

    The previous day high was 1.0718 while the previous day low was 1.0675. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0691, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0702, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.0664, 1.0648, 1.0621
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0707, 1.0734, 1.075
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.0718
    Previous Daily Low 1.0675
    Previous Weekly High 1.0769
    Previous Weekly Low 1.0632
    Previous Monthly High 1.1065
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0766
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0691
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0702
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0664
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0648
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0621
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0707
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0734
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0750

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