The GBP/USD pair dropped to the 1.2670 level, which is below the 20-day simple moving average.

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The GBP/USD pair dropped to the 1.2670 level, which is below the 20-day simple moving average.

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  • GBP/USD retreated towards the 1.2670 area, below the 20-day SMA.
  • Core PCE from July rose to 3.3%, matching expectations.
  • Focus shifts to Friday’s NFPs, expected to have decelerated to 170k.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.26638.

    The previous day high was 1.2746 while the previous day low was 1.2619. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2698, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2668, expected to provide resistance.

    On Thursday, the GBP/USD lost ground as the USD traded strongly against most of its rivals after the release of July’s Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures. The GBP’s losses are limited by tightening expectations on the Bank of England remaining high.

    The Core PCE from July came in at 3.3%, up from its previous 3% and matched the consensus. In addition, the US reported that the Jobless Claims for the week ending in August 25 decelerated to 228,000, vs. the 235,000 expected and the previous 232,000 and hinted at some resilience of the labour market after the US reported soft employment figures on Tuesday.

    All eyes are now on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report from August from the US to be reported on Friday, which will likely cause market volatility as that report is the ultimate gauge of the US labour market’s health. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) expects a cooling labour market, its outcome will help investors place bets on the next decisions.

    On the GBP’s side, no relevant data was released, but its losses are limited by the tightening expectations of the Bank of England (BoE), and markets still bet on a terminal rate between 5.75%-6% for this cycle.

    Based on the daily chart, GBP/USD maintains a neutral technical perspective as indicators send mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) displays a negative slope in the bullish territory, hinting at a potential shift in momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) displays shorter red bars. Moreover, the pair is below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but above the 100 and 200-day SMAs, indicating a favourable position for the bulls in the bigger picture.

    Support levels: 1.2645 (100-day SMA), 1.2600, 1.2550.

    Resistance levels: 1.2700 (20-day SMA), 1.2730, 1.2750.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2666 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2721 and is trading with a change of -0.43 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.2666
    1 Today Daily Change -0.0055
    2 Today Daily Change % -0.4300
    3 Today daily open 1.2721

    The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2702, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2781 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.2647 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2411

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.2702
    1 Daily SMA50 1.2781
    2 Daily SMA100 1.2647
    3 Daily SMA200 1.2411

    The previous day high was 1.2746 while the previous day low was 1.2619. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2698, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2668, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.2645, 1.2568, 1.2517
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2772, 1.2823, 1.29
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.2746
    Previous Daily Low 1.2619
    Previous Weekly High 1.2800
    Previous Weekly Low 1.2548
    Previous Monthly High 1.3142
    Previous Monthly Low 1.2659
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2698
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2668
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2645
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2568
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2517
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2772
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2823
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2900

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