The USDJPY currency pair, currently at a level of 145.378, has lost its previous momentum and is now declining below the mid-145.00s range. This decline comes after reaching a high of 146.56 earlier in the year.
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- USD/JPY loses momentum below mid-145.00s, retracing from a Year-To-Date (YTD) high of 146.56.
The pair currently trades last at 145.378.
The previous day high was 146.56 while the previous day low was 145.62. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 145.98, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 146.2, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/JPY pair loses its traction below mid-145.00s heading into the early European session on Friday. The upbeat Japanese data supports the Japanese Yen against its rivals. The major pair retraces from a Year-To-Date (YTD) high of 146.56 and currently trades near 145.18, losing 0.45% on the day.
The Japanese National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July YoY, released by the Statistics Bureau on Friday, came in at 3.3%, above market expectations of 2.5%. Meanwhile, the National CPI excluding fresh food and energy increased to 4.3% from 4.2%, in line with market expectations of 3.1% YoY. It’s worth noting that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) keeps policy ultra-loose monetary policy while enabling the 10-year bond yield cap to move more flexible. The monetary policy divergence between the BoJ and Fed might exert pressure on the Japanese Yen against its major rivals and could be a headwind for the USD/JPY pair.
On the other hand, the number of unemployment claims fell for the week ending on August 12, indicating that the labor market remains tight. The number of US jobless claims declined to 239K for the week ending on August 12. The figure came in slightly below the market expectation of 240K, the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) reported on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Continuing Jobless Claims rose to 1.716 million. Finally, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s Manufacturing Survey for August improved to 12, above the market consensus of -10 and -12 prior.
The US data strengthen the case for another interest rate rise by the Federal Reserve (Fed). FOMC Minutes emphasized on Wednesday that inflation remained unacceptably high and additional monetary policy tightening may be required to bring inflation to the target.
Looking ahead, the USD/JPY pair remains at the mercy of USD price dynamics due to the lack of economic data release from both the US and Japan. Investors will continue to monitor news about China’s debt crisis, which might dampen risk appetite.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 145.25 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 145.84 and is trading with a change of -0.4 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 145.25 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.59 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.40 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 145.84 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 143.05, 50 SMA 142.2, 100 SMA @ 139.06 and 200 SMA @ 136.5.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 143.05 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 142.20 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 139.06 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 136.50 |
The previous day high was 146.56 while the previous day low was 145.62. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 145.98, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 146.2, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 145.45, 145.06, 144.51
- Pivot resistance is noted at 146.39, 146.95, 147.34
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 146.56 |
| Previous Daily Low | 145.62 |
| Previous Weekly High | 145.00 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 141.51 |
| Previous Monthly High | 144.91 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 137.24 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 145.98 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 146.20 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 145.45 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 145.06 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 144.51 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 146.39 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 146.95 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 147.34 |
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