The BOJ meeting, which lasted for two days, ended with a surprising modification to the Yield Curve Control. The EURJPY is currently at 155.450.

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The BOJ meeting, which lasted for two days, ended with a surprising modification to the Yield Curve Control. The EURJPY is currently at 155.450.

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  • The two-day BOJ meeting concluded with an unexpected adjustment to the Yield Curve Control.
  • Germany’s Inflation data came in line with expectations of 6.5% but lower than the previous 6.6%, and Q2 GDP data disappointed.
  • Ueda’s dovish tone weights on the Yen.
  • The pair currently trades last at 155.450.

    The previous day high was 156.24 while the previous day low was 152.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 153.74, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 154.69, expected to provide support.

    At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY pair is trading near the 155.50 area, marking a significant 1.54% increase from its opening price. The pair experienced a daily low of 151.40, and then the Yen lost interest as investors took the Bank of Japan decision as dovish.

    On the one hand, Thursday’s rumours materialised, and the two-day BoJ meeting concluded with an unexpected adjustment to the Yield Curve Control (YCC) and the offer to buy 10-year JGBs at 1.0% every day, leading to market volatility. The 2-year yield rose to -0.012%, while the 5 and 10-year yields reached 0.162% and 0.567%, respectively. However, the BoJ interest rate decision remained unchanged. Still, Governor Ueda commented that the YCC tweak wasn’t a step to normalisation and that the bank, nowhere near raising rates, is weakening the Yen.

    On the other hand, Germany reported encouraging economic data. The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) (YoY) for July aligned with expectations of 6.5%, a bit lower than the previous 6.4%. In addition, the Gross Domestic Product (YoY) for Q2 decreased but was lower than expected at 0.2% vs the projections of 0.3%.

    On Thursday, Christine Lagarde commented that monetary policy decisions would be based on incoming data, so soft inflation figures make markets bet on a dovish European Central Bank (ECB). In that sense, the 2, 5 and 10-year German yields are decreasing by more than 0.50%.

    The daily candlestick chart shows that the EUR/JPY trades bullish, ending the week. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is just slightly above the midline, with a steep positive slope of 90 degrees. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints fading soft red bars indicating that bulls are quickly gaining ground. On the bigger picture, the pair trades above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), reinforcing a bullish momentum.

    Resistance levels: 155.84 (20-day SMA), 156.00, 156.50.
    Support levels: 155.00, 153.00,151.50.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURJPY currently trading at 155.51 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 153.08 and is trading with a change of 1.59 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 155.51
    1 Today Daily Change 2.43
    2 Today Daily Change % 1.59
    3 Today daily open 153.08

    The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 155.99, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 153.72 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 149.73 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 146.43

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 155.99
    1 Daily SMA50 153.72
    2 Daily SMA100 149.73
    3 Daily SMA200 146.43

    The previous day high was 156.24 while the previous day low was 152.19. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 153.74, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 154.69, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 151.44, 149.79, 147.39
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 155.48, 157.88, 159.53
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 156.24
    Previous Daily Low 152.19
    Previous Weekly High 158.05
    Previous Weekly Low 154.88
    Previous Monthly High 158.00
    Previous Monthly Low 148.62
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 153.74
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 154.69
    Daily Pivot Point S1 151.44
    Daily Pivot Point S2 149.79
    Daily Pivot Point S3 147.39
    Daily Pivot Point R1 155.48
    Daily Pivot Point R2 157.88
    Daily Pivot Point R3 159.53

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