The EURGBP pair is trading in a horizontal range below the 0.8600 level as it prepares for the European Central Bank’s policy announcement.
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- EUR/GBP remains sideways below 0.8600 ahead of ECB’s policy decision.
The pair currently trades last at 0.85746.
The previous day high was 0.8637 while the previous day low was 0.8565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8593, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.861, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/GBP pair is demonstrating directionless performance in the Asian session around 0.8570. The cross is expected to extend its declining spell despite concrete expectations of an interest rate hike from the European Central Bank (ECB), which will be announced on Thursday.
To tame stubborn inflation in Eurozone propelled by rising wages and cost of services, ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to deliver a hawkish interest rate decision. An interest rate hike of 25 basis points (bps) is expected, which will push interest rates to 4.25%. While the trigger that is building pressure on the Euro is the uncertainty about guidance for September’s monetary policy.
Eurozone inflation is consistently declining and the economy is facing pressure due to higher interest rates. Therefore, the ECB could consider a skip in the policy tightening spell in September but that should not be mixed with a pause for now. However, the guidance from ECB Lagarde would remain hawkish, which will provide some cushion to the Euro.
Meanwhile, the Pound Sterling is performing better against the Euro despite a bleak economic outlook. Higher interest rates by the Bank of England (BoE) are building pressure on the United Kingdom’s economic prospects as firms have postponed tapping credit to avoid bulky interest obligations.
UK’s June inflation remained surprisingly lower for the first time in the past five months. The event provided some relief to BoE policymakers. However, investors are interested to know whether UK PM Rishi Sunak would meet his promise of easing inflation to 5% by the year-end.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURGBP currently trading at 0.8572 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8569 and is trading with a change of 0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.8572 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0003 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.0400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.8569 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8588, 50 SMA 0.8603, 100 SMA @ 0.8696 and 200 SMA @ 0.8729.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.8588 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.8603 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.8696 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.8729 |
The previous day high was 0.8637 while the previous day low was 0.8565. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8593, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.861, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.8544, 0.8519, 0.8472
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8615, 0.8662, 0.8687
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.8637 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.8565 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.8701 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.8570 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.8658 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.8518 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.8593 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.8610 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.8544 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.8519 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.8472 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.8615 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.8662 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.8687 |
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