The EURUSD currency pair, trading at 1.12322, continues to strengthen and is currently at its highest level in 16 months. It is attracting buying interest, and there are expectations that it will reach a new high soon. However, the view from @nehcap is that there is only a limited potential for further gains.

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The EURUSD currency pair, trading at 1.12322, continues to strengthen and is currently at its highest level in 16 months. It is attracting buying interest, and there are expectations that it will reach a new high soon. However, the view from @nehcap is that there is only a limited potential for further gains.

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  • EUR/USD remains firmer at the highest levels in 16 months, picks up bids to renew multi-month peak of late.
  • Hawkish comments from Fed’s Waller fail to prod Euro bulls as inflation concerns flag Fed policy pivot.
  • Key Fibonacci retracement level challenge EUR/USD bulls amid overbought RSI.
  • Euro sellers need validation from 1.1180 and mid-tier US/EU data for return.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.12322.

    The previous day high was 1.1228 while the previous day low was 1.1128. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1089, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1057, expected to provide support.

    EUR/USD picks up bids to refresh a 16-month high near 1.1235 during early Friday, rising for the seventh consecutive day to brace for the biggest weekly gain since November 2022. In doing so, the Euro pair fails to justify hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, as well as the cautious mood ahead of the mid-tier data from the US and Eurozone.

    Also read: EUR/USD prods 16-month high past 1.1200 on broad US Dollar weakness, EU/US data eyed

    Apart from the Fed concerns and slightly offbeat sentiment, the overbought RSI conditions also challenge the EUR/USD bulls as they approach the key 1.1280 hurdle comprising the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s January 2021 to September 2022 downturn.

    It’s worth noting, however, that a clear upside break of 1.1280 enables the EUR/USD buyers to aim for the previous yearly high of near 1.1500.

    Following that, the October 2021 low and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, respectively near 1.1530 and 1.1760, will be in the spotlight.

    On the contrary, a convergence of the 200-week SMA and previous resistance line stretched from May 2023, close to 1.1180 at the latest, put a floor under the EUR/USD price amid bullish MACD signals.

    In a case where the EUR/USD remains bearish past 1.1180, tops marked in April and February, close to 1.1095 and 1.1030, will act as the final defense of the bulls.

    Trend: Limited upside expected

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    EURUSD currently trading at 1.1232 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1226 and is trading with a change of 0.05% % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.1232
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0006
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.05%
    3 Today daily open 1.1226

    The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0938, 50 SMA 1.0861, 100 SMA @ 1.0841 and 200 SMA @ 1.0638.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.0938
    1 Daily SMA50 1.0861
    2 Daily SMA100 1.0841
    3 Daily SMA200 1.0638

    The previous day high was 1.1228 while the previous day low was 1.1128. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1089, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1057, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.1044, 1.0956, 1.0908
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1179, 1.1228, 1.1315
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.1228
    Previous Daily Low 1.1128
    Previous Weekly High 1.0973
    Previous Weekly Low 1.0834
    Previous Monthly High 1.1012
    Previous Monthly Low 1.0662
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1089
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1057
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1044
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0956
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0908
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1179
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1228
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1315

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