The USD/CHF pair is still experiencing low levels near a multi-year low due to the negative outlook on the USD.

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The USD/CHF pair is still experiencing low levels near a multi-year low due to the negative outlook on the USD.

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  • USD/CHF remains depressed near a multi-year low amid the bearish sentiment around the USD.
  • Bets that the Fed will soon end its rate-hiking cycle undermine the USD and acts as a headwind.
  • The fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favour of bears and supports prospects for further losses.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.85880.

    The previous day high was 0.8676 while the previous day low was 0.8582. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8713, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8746, expected to provide resistance.

    The USD/CHF pair enters a bearish consolidation phase and oscillates in a narrow trading band around its lowest level since January 2015 touched during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices remain below the 0.8600 mark and seem vulnerable to prolonging a six-day-old bearish trend.

    The US Dollar (USD) pauses its recent sharp fall witnessed over the past week or so, to a 15-month low, in the wake of a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields and turns out to be a key factor lending some support to the USD/CHF pair. That said, firming expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hike interest rates only one more time this year could act as a headwind for the US bond yields and the USD, which, in turn, is holding back bulls from placing aggressive bets around the major.

    In fact, market participants now seem convinced that the US central bank is close to ending its fastest monetary policy tightening cycle since the 1980s. The bets were lifted by the US CPI report released on Wednesday, which showed a further moderation in consumer prices. Adding to this, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) recorded the smallest yearly increase in nearly three years in June. This could allow the Fed to soften its hawkish stance, which might continue to weigh on the Greenback.

    Apart from this, a modest pullback in the US equity futures could benefit the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF) and further contribute to capping any meaningful upside for the USD/CHF pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to end in the red for the second successive week. Market participants now look to the release of the Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Index, which might influence the USD price dynamic and provide some impetus to the pair on the last day of the week.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8588 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8588 and is trading with a change of 0.0 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8588
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0000
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0000
    3 Today daily open 0.8588

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.8927, 50 SMA 0.8976, 100 SMA @ 0.9056 and 200 SMA @ 0.9266.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8927
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8976
    2 Daily SMA100 0.9056
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9266

    The previous day high was 0.8676 while the previous day low was 0.8582. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8713, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8746, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8622, 0.857, 0.8481
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8764, 0.8852, 0.8905
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8676
    Previous Daily Low 0.8582
    Previous Weekly High 0.9005
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8876
    Previous Monthly High 0.9120
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8902
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8713
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8746
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8622
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8570
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8481
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8764
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8852
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8905

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