The USDCAD has increased slightly for two consecutive days, but there is not enough continued interest among buyers.

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The USDCAD has increased slightly for two consecutive days, but there is not enough continued interest among buyers.

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  • USD/CAD ticks higher for the second straight day, albeit lacks follow-through buying.
  • Bearish Crude Oil prices undermine the Loonie and act as a tailwind for the major.
  • The emergence of fresh USD selling bias caps gains ahead of the crucial US CPI report.
  • The pair currently trades last at 1.33710.

    The previous day high was 1.3384 while the previous day low was 1.3315. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3357, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3341, expected to provide support.

    The USD/CAD pair gains some positive traction for the second successive day on Tuesday and looks to build on the overnight bounce from the 1.3315-1.3310 area, or a one-month low. The pair trades around the 1.3375 region during the Asian session, up less than 0.10% for the day, and draws support from the recent slump in Crude Oil prices.

    Worries that a global economic slowdown, particularly in China, will dent fuel demand drag Crude Oil prices to the lowest level since early May on Monday, which, undermines the commodity-linked Loonie and acts as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair. The upside, however, remains capped in the wake of a fresh US Dollar (USD), led by firming expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will more likely skip hiking interest rates in June.

    In fact, the recent dovish rhetoric by a slew of influential FOMC members reaffirmed market expectations about an imminent pause in the US central bank’s year-long policy tightening cycle. This represents a divergence in comparison to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) surprise 25 bps rate hike last week, which might further contribute to capping gains for the USD/CAD pair and warrants some caution before placing aggressive bullish bets.

    Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures, due later during the early North American session. A stronger US CPI print will further lift bets for another 25 bps lift-off at the July FOMC meeting and provide a goodish lift to the buck. The immediate market reaction, however, is likely to remain limited ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed decision on Wednesday.

    Apart from this, a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields might continue to act as a headwind for the Greenback. This further makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the USD/CAD pair has formed a near-term bottom ahead of the 1.3300 mark and positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCAD currently trading at 1.3377 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3368 and is trading with a change of 0.07 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 1.3377
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0009
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.0700
    3 Today daily open 1.3368

    The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.3487, 50 SMA 1.3486, 100 SMA @ 1.3515 and 200 SMA @ 1.3515.

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 1.3487
    1 Daily SMA50 1.3486
    2 Daily SMA100 1.3515
    3 Daily SMA200 1.3515

    The previous day high was 1.3384 while the previous day low was 1.3315. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3357, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3341, expected to provide support.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 1.3327, 1.3287, 1.3259
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3396, 1.3424, 1.3465
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 1.3384
    Previous Daily Low 1.3315
    Previous Weekly High 1.3462
    Previous Weekly Low 1.3313
    Previous Monthly High 1.3655
    Previous Monthly Low 1.3315
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3357
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3341
    Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3327
    Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3287
    Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3259
    Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3396
    Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3424
    Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3465

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