#GBPUSD @ 1.25115 licks its wounds after posting the biggest daily loss in seven weeks., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.25115 licks its wounds after posting the biggest daily loss in seven weeks., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD licks its wounds after posting the biggest daily loss in seven weeks.
  • Downside break of two-month-old ascending trend line, bearish MACD signals favor Cable bears.
  • Nearly oversold RSI (14), upward-sloping trend line from late March challenges the Pound Sterling sellers.
  • First readings of the United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter (Q1) of 2023 eyed as well.

The pair currently trades last at 1.25115.

The previous day high was 1.268 while the previous day low was 1.2603. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.265, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2632, expected to provide resistance.

GBP/USD seesaws around 1.2515 during early Friday morning in Asia, after posting the biggest daily fall since March 07.

In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the downside break of a two-month-old ascending trend line, as well as bearish MACD signals. However, an upward-sloping trend line from late March, around 1.2500 round figure by the press time, joins the oversold RSI (14) line suggesting a corrective bounce in the GBP/USD price.

In a case where the GBP/USD remains weaker past 1.2500, the 200-bar SMA level of around 1.2470 will act as the last defense of the Cable pair buyers.

Meanwhile, the Pound Sterling’s corrective bounce needs to stay beyond the multi-day-old previous support line, close to 1.2540 at the latest, to convince the GBP/USD buyers.

Following that, a fortnight-old horizontal hurdle near 1.2580 and the recently flashed multi-month high of near 1.2680 could lure the Cable buyers.

Apart from the technical details, the first readings of the UK’s Q1 GDP, expected to print stagnant growth of 0.1% on QoQ but ease to 0.2% YoY versus 0.6% prior, will be the key for the GBP/USD traders to watch for clear directions.

Trend: Limited downside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2512 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2626 and is trading with a change of -0.90% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.2512
1 Today Daily Change -0.0114
2 Today Daily Change % -0.90%
3 Today daily open 1.2626

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.2504, 50 SMA 1.2337, 100 SMA @ 1.224 and 200 SMA @ 1.1957.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.2504
1 Daily SMA50 1.2337
2 Daily SMA100 1.2240
3 Daily SMA200 1.1957

The previous day high was 1.268 while the previous day low was 1.2603. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.265, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2632, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.2592, 1.2559, 1.2515
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2669, 1.2713, 1.2747
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2680
Previous Daily Low 1.2603
Previous Weekly High 1.2652
Previous Weekly Low 1.2436
Previous Monthly High 1.2584
Previous Monthly Low 1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2650
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2632
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2592
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2559
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2515
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2669
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2713
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2747

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