#AUDNZD @ 1.07477 has dropped to near 1.0750 on downbeat Australian Employment data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/NZD has dropped to near 1.0750 on downbeat Australian Employment data.
- A one-time weak employment report might not de-rail the RBA from its path of policy tightening.
- This week, the interest rate decision from the PBoC will be of utmost importance.
The pair currently trades last at 1.07477.
The previous day high was 1.0924 while the previous day low was 1.0787. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0839, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0872, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/NZD pair has witnessed a sell-off by the market participants after the release of downbeat Australian Employment data. Higher interest rates by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA,) in its fight against soaring inflation, has forced the firms to lay off their workforce due to a decline in investment avenues and expansion plans.
In December, the Australian labor market has been shrunk by 14.6K employees while the street was expecting fresh addition of 22.5k jobs. The Unemployment Rate has jumped to 3.5% against the consensus and the former release of 3.4%.
The release of the downbeat employment data could be music to the ears of the RBA as it making consistent efforts in achieving price stability. Lower employment numbers might result in weaker retail demand, which will trim the mammoth household spending in the Australian economy. The Australian Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an 11.4% increase in consumer spending in November compared to the same time last year.
A one-time weak employment report is not expected to derail the RBA policymakers from their path of policy tightening, therefore, investors should brace for a continuation of interest rate hikes further.
Going forward, investors from the smallest continent and New Zealand will focus on the interest rate decision by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), which is scheduled for Friday. Considering the deflation in the Producer’s Price Index (PPI) and reopening reforms after the Covid-19 epidemic, the PBoC might look for policy easing to spurt the pace of economic activities. It is worth noting that Australia and New Zealand are major trading partners of China and China’s monetary policy decision may have a significant impact on them.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDNZD currently trading at 1.075 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0791 and is trading with a change of -0.38 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0750 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0041 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.3800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0791 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.079, 50 SMA 1.0752, 100 SMA @ 1.0967 and 200 SMA @ 1.1006.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0790 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0752 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0967 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1006 |
The previous day high was 1.0924 while the previous day low was 1.0787. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0839, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0872, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0744, 1.0697, 1.0607
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0881, 1.0971, 1.1017
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0924 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0787 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0936 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0798 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0792 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0471 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0839 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0872 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0744 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0697 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0607 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0881 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0971 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1017 |
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