#USDCAD @ 1.33799 turns lower for the second straight day, albeit lacks follow-through selling. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDCAD @ 1.33799 turns lower for the second straight day, albeit lacks follow-through selling. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/CAD turns lower for the second straight day, albeit lacks follow-through selling.
  • Bullish crude oil prices underpin the Loonie and act as a headwind for the major.
  • Broad-based USD strength lends some support ahead of important US macro data.

The pair currently trades last at 1.33799.

The previous day high was 1.3437 while the previous day low was 1.3369. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3395, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3411, expected to provide resistance.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers following an early uptick to the 1.3410 area dips into negative territory for the second straight day on Wednesday. The pair is currently placed near the daily low, around the 1.3380 region, and looks to extend the previous day’s pullback from the weekly top.

Crude oil prices stand tall near the monthly peak amid optimism over a recovery in Chinese fuel demand. This, in turn, underpins the commodity-linked Loonie and acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. That said, a combination of factors should help limit deeper losses for the major and warrants some caution before placing aggressive intraday bearish bets.

Worries about a deeper global economic downturn might cap crude oil prices, which, along with a sharp deceleration in Canadian consumer inflation, could act as a headwind for the Canadian Dollar. Apart from this, resurgent US Dollar demand, bolstered by the Bank of Japan-inspired sell-off in the Japanese Yen, should further lend support to the USD/CAD pair.

The USD rally, meanwhile, is likely to run out of steam amid a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields, weighed down by growing acceptance that the Fed will soften its hawkish stance. In fact, the current market pricing points to a greater chance of a smaller 25 bps Fed rate hike move in February, which should keep a lid on the greenback.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop, along with repeated failures to find acceptance above the 1.3400 mark, favour bearish traders. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling below mid-1.3300s before positioning for any further depreciating move as traders now look to important US macro data for a fresh impetus.

Wednesday’s US economic docket highlights the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and monthly Retail Sales figures, due later during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields might influence the USD demand. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCAD currently trading at 1.3377 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.3388 and is trading with a change of -0.08 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.3377
1 Today Daily Change -0.0011
2 Today Daily Change % -0.0800
3 Today daily open 1.3388

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.351, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.3495 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.3503 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.3177

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.3510
1 Daily SMA50 1.3495
2 Daily SMA100 1.3503
3 Daily SMA200 1.3177

The previous day high was 1.3437 while the previous day low was 1.3369. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3395, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3411, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.3359, 1.333, 1.3291
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3427, 1.3466, 1.3494
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.3437
Previous Daily Low 1.3369
Previous Weekly High 1.3461
Previous Weekly Low 1.3322
Previous Monthly High 1.3705
Previous Monthly Low 1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3395
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3411
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3359
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3330
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3291
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3427
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3466
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3494

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