The AUDUSD pair reached its highest point in one and a half weeks on Thursday but did not see continued upward momentum.

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• AUD/USD climbs to a one-and-half-week high on Thursday, albeit lacks follow-through.

The pair currently trades last at 0.64336.

The previous day high was 0.6434 while the previous day low was 0.638. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6401, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6414, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair builds on the previous day’s post-US CPI bounce from the 0.6380 area and gains some follow-through traction during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices stick to gains around mid-0.6400s, or a one-and-half-week top and react little to the latest Australian employment details.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the number of employed people rose by 64.9K in August as compared to the 23K expected and a loss of 14.6K in the previous month. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, is forecast to hold steady at 3.7% despite a rise in the Participation Rate to 67% in August. The data, however, does little to provide a fresh impetus to the AUD/USD pair amid speculations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) might have already ended its rate-hiking cycle.

Apart from this, persistent worries about the worsening economic conditions in China – Australia’s largest trading partner – hold back traders from placing fresh bets around the China-proxy Aussie. The downside for the AUD/USD pair, however, seems limited in the wake of a mildly softer tone surrounding the US Dollar (USD). In the absence of any big surprises from the US consumer inflation figures, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep rates steady weighs on the buck.

In fact, the US central bank is widely expected to maintain the status quo at its monetary policy meeting next week. That said, bets for one more Fed rate hike move by the end of this year should help limit any meaningful downside for the USD. the current market pricing indicates a more than 50% chance of a 25 basis points (bps) lift-off either in November or December. This, in turn, warrants some caution for the USD bears and before positioning for any further appreciating move for the AUD/USD pair.

Market participants now look to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Producer Price Index (PPI) and monthly Retail Sales later during the early North American session. The data, along with the post-ECB volatility in the markets, might influence the USD price dynamics and produce short-term trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6441 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6422 and is trading with a change of 0.3 % .

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6427, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6566 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6621 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6708

The previous day high was 0.6434 while the previous day low was 0.638. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6401, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6414, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.639, 0.6358, 0.6336
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6444, 0.6466, 0.6498

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