The AUDJPY currency pair, currently at a rate of 94.2410, experiences a decline to 94.25 in response to the release of discouraging Chinese Services PMI data.
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- AUD/JPY drops to 94.25 following the weaker Chinese Services PMI data.
The pair currently trades last at 94.2410.
The previous day high was 0.648 while the previous day low was 0.6445. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6467, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6458, expected to provide support.
The AUD/JPY cross loses traction near 94.25 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The weaker-than-expected Chinese PMI data drags the Aussie lower. Investors await the key event, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision. This event might trigger volatility in the Australian Dollar (AUD) in the next session.
RBA is likely to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.10% on Tuesday as inflation eases, according to a Reuters poll. However, market players anticipate that the central bank will maintain its hawkish stance and open the door for additional rate hikes.
The latest data from Caixin on Tuesday showed that the Chinese Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declined to 51.8 in August from 54.1 in July. The downbeat Chinese exert some selling pressure on the AUD as investors perceive the Aussie as a proxy for the Chinese economy.
As a result of growing prices, Japanese household expenditure suffered its largest decline in nearly two and a half years. Tuesday’s data showed that household spending plunged 5.0% YoY in July, worse-than-expected of a 2.5% drop. This figure marked the fall for the fifth consecutive month. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintains its loose monetary policy while shifting away from yield curve control. BoJ Board member Toyoaki Nakamura said last week that policymakers need more time to transition to monetary tightening. That said, the monetary policy gap between Australia and Japan might cap the downside of the AUD/JPY cross for the time being.
Market participants will closely watch the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision later on Tuesday. RBA is expected to maintain its key interest rate unchanged at 4.10% on its Wednesday’s meeting. The attention will shift to the Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter due on Wednesday. The quarterly growth number is expected to grow 0.3%. On Friday, the Japanese GDP for Q2 will be released. Traders will take cues from these data and find trading opportunities around the AUD/JPY cross.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDJPY currently trading at 0.6435 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6462 and is trading with a change of -0.42 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6435 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0027 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.4200 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6462 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6459, 50 SMA 0.6602, 100 SMA @ 0.6641 and 200 SMA @ 0.672.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6459 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6602 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6641 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6720 |
The previous day high was 0.648 while the previous day low was 0.6445. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6467, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6458, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6444, 0.6427, 0.6409
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.648, 0.6498, 0.6515
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6480 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6445 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6522 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6401 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6724 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6364 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6467 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6458 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6444 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6427 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6409 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6480 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6498 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6515 |
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