The USD/CHF currency pair is showing increased strength near the level of 0.8802, just before the release of the US S&P Global PMI data.

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The USD/CHF currency pair is showing increased strength near the level of 0.8802, just before the release of the US S&P Global PMI data.

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  • USD/CHF gains momentum near 0.8802 ahead of the US S&P Global PMI data.
  • US Existing Home Sales declined 2.2% vs a 3.3% drop in June; Richmond Fed’s Manufacturing Index fell to -7 from -9.
  • Swiss Trade Balance narrowed to 3,129M against the market consensus of 4,300 M.
  • Market players await Jackson Hole’s annual symposium, Fed Chair Powell’s speech.
  • The pair currently trades last at 0.88013.

    The previous day high was 0.8828 while the previous day low was 0.878. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8798, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.881, expected to provide resistance.

    The USD/CHF pair recovers its recent loss and reclaims the 0.8800 area during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of USD against six other major currencies, bounces off the weekly low of 103.01 and hovers around 103.60. The US 10-year yield climbs above 4.30%, marking a new multi-year high.

    On Tuesday, the US Existing Home Sales in the US fell 2.2% in July, compared to a 3.3% decline in June. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for August decreased from -9 to -7, in accordance with market expectations.

    Along with the stronger US data, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin’s hawkish comments on Tuesday supports the Dollar’s recovery. Barkin stated that monetary policy would have to be tightened if inflation remained elevated and there were no indications that demand would decrease.

    The Swiss Federal Customs Administration reported on Tuesday that the country’s Trade Balance narrowed to 3,129M against the market consensus of 4,300M. Meanwhile, Exports were down 16.7% in July. In the same period, Imports dropped by 12.5%. The Swiss franc weakened against its rivals in response to the weaker data.

    Furthermore, the US Commerce Department’s statement reported late Tuesday that US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo met the Chinese ambassador Xie Feng, and had a productive discussion before her departure to China, according to Reuters. Market participants will keep an eye on the prospects for collaboration between the two countries. The renewed tension between the US-China could benefit the traditional safe-haven Swiss France and acts as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair.

    In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases from Switzerland, the USD/CHF pair remains at the mercy of USD price dynamics. Market players await the US S&P Global PMI data due later in the day. The highlight of the week will be Jackson Hole annual symposium on Thursday and Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Friday. The events could offer hints for further monetary policy. Investors now expect the Fed to pause interest rates in September and bet on a 25 basis point (bps) rate hike in its November meeting.

    Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

    USDCHF currently trading at 0.8802 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8785 and is trading with a change of 0.19 % .

    Overview Overview.1
    0 Today last price 0.8802
    1 Today Daily Change 0.0017
    2 Today Daily Change % 0.1900
    3 Today daily open 0.8785

    The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.8745, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.881 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.8899 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9097

    Trends Trends.1
    0 Daily SMA20 0.8745
    1 Daily SMA50 0.8810
    2 Daily SMA100 0.8899
    3 Daily SMA200 0.9097

    The previous day high was 0.8828 while the previous day low was 0.878. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8798, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.881, expected to provide resistance.

    Note the levels of interest below:

    • Pivot support is noted at 0.8767, 0.875, 0.8719
    • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8815, 0.8846, 0.8863
    Levels Levels.1
    Previous Daily High 0.8828
    Previous Daily Low 0.8780
    Previous Weekly High 0.8828
    Previous Weekly Low 0.8738
    Previous Monthly High 0.9005
    Previous Monthly Low 0.8552
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8798
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8810
    Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8767
    Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8750
    Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8719
    Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8815
    Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8846
    Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8863

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