If the Fed does not give any indication of immediate interest rate cuts, the EURUSD currency pair is expected to stay close to 1.10, according to Commerzbank.
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Economists at Commerzbank highlight the conditions required to keep EUR/USD around the 1.10 zone.
Remarkably, the Dollar recovered later in the day, possibly supported by comments from San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who reiterated after the inflation data that the Fed has more work to do. Against this backdrop, the USD correction underscores how uncertain the FX market is about the Fed’s immediate outlook.
Attention is now likely to focus increasingly on the comments of the Fed central bankers. It is their task to moderate an end of the rate hike cycle without fuelling expectations of imminent rate cuts. The more successful they are at doing that the longer EUR/USD is likely to remain in the area of 1.10.
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